Mike Red
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (15 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 16
Defender wins (German): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1028 | 52% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1054 | 1150 | 37% | 2022-06-29 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1205 | 31% | 2021-06-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-03-28 | Lost |
| 1050 | 929 | 67% | 2020-01-20 | Won |
| 929 | 1050 | 33% | 2019-12-30 | Lost |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1023 | 61% | 2015-07-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 1149 | 28% | 2011-08-14 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1040 | 67% | 2007-08-04 | Lost |
| 1142 | 957 | 74% | 2006-06-07 | Won |
| 1024 | 1013 | 52% | 1998-01-08 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1013 | 52% | 1998-01-07 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1024 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1045.4 vs 1059 has a 48.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).