Last Defense Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (19 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (French): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2026-02-19 | Won |
| 1068 | 1002 | 59% | 2025-11-19 | Lost |
| 938 | 1017 | 39% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 938 | 1058 | 33% | 2022-09-24 | Won |
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
| 1151 | 1082 | 60% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 974 | 1077 | 36% | 2017-04-20 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1021 | 61% | 2015-01-01 | Lost |
| 939 | 1226 | 16% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
| 982 | 1101 | 34% | 2014-03-27 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1060 | 44% | 2013-04-25 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1017 | 56% | 2013-02-01 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2004-01-02 | Lost |
| 947 | 1055 | 35% | 2003-10-19 | Won |
| 1060 | 970 | 63% | 2002-07-05 | Won |
| 967 | 1065 | 36% | 2001-12-09 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1159 | 33% | 1999-02-06 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 1997-06-17 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1081 | 50% | 1997-02-21 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1004.4 vs 1073.6 has a 40.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).