Last Defense Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (19 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (French): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2026-02-19 | Won |
| 1025 | 1033 | 49% | 2025-11-19 | Lost |
| 938 | 1017 | 39% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 938 | 1058 | 33% | 2022-09-24 | Won |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
| 1151 | 1082 | 60% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 976 | 1077 | 36% | 2017-04-20 | Lost |
| 980 | 1021 | 44% | 2015-01-01 | Lost |
| 939 | 1226 | 16% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
| 981 | 1101 | 33% | 2014-03-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1068 | 43% | 2013-04-25 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1019 | 57% | 2013-02-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1123 | 33% | 2004-01-02 | Lost |
| 962 | 1055 | 37% | 2003-10-19 | Won |
| 1068 | 969 | 64% | 2002-07-05 | Won |
| 1041 | 1065 | 47% | 2001-12-09 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1173 | 32% | 1999-02-06 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 1997-06-17 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 1997-02-21 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 995.4 vs 1070.6 has a 39.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).