Mayhem in Manila
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 206 (16 on the archive and 190 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 97
Defender wins (Japanese): 109
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1041 | 52% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1041 | 1055 | 48% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1030 | 1184 | 29% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 849 | 1223 | 10% | 2016-05-23 | Won |
| 937 | 905 | 55% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1125 | 52% | 2011-12-05 | Lost |
| 1040 | 992 | 57% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1033 | 1310 | 17% | 2011-06-06 | Won |
| 918 | 1019 | 36% | 2003-07-30 | Lost |
| 1063 | 993 | 60% | 2002-04-28 | Won |
| 1086 | 1138 | 43% | 2001-10-07 | Lost |
| 1071 | 966 | 65% | 2000-04-09 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1010 | 56% | 1999-07-31 | Won |
| 1138 | 989 | 70% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1036.1 vs 1069.2 has a 45.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).