The Red Wave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German (SS)): 13
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
989 | 1030 | 44% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
944 | 943 | 50% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
935 | 1159 | 22% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
1159 | 935 | 78% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
1045 | 970 | 61% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
1047 | 980 | 60% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
948 | 1117 | 27% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
970 | 880 | 63% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
997 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
887 | 928 | 44% | 2019-05-15 | Won |
868 | 847 | 53% | 2017-06-19 | Won |
1159 | 873 | 84% | 2016-12-30 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
1004 | 994 | 51% | 2015-10-28 | Lost |
1021 | 1047 | 46% | 2008-04-04 | Won |
1057 | 933 | 67% | 2003-10-01 | Lost |
980 | 1103 | 33% | 1999-01-06 | Lost |
956 | 1057 | 36% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1998-03-18 | Won |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 1998-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1014 vs 996.4 has a 52.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).