The Red Wave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German (SS)): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 941 | 1038 | 36% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 999 | 1256 | 19% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 1256 | 999 | 81% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1039 | 48% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1071 | 975 | 63% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 948 | 979 | 46% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
| 941 | 999 | 42% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
| 998 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 887 | 923 | 45% | 2019-05-15 | Won |
| 870 | 847 | 53% | 2017-06-19 | Won |
| 1256 | 873 | 90% | 2016-12-30 | Won |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1065 | 45% | 2015-10-28 | Lost |
| 1081 | 875 | 77% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 950 | 1076 | 33% | 2008-04-04 | Won |
| 1019 | 932 | 62% | 2003-10-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 726 | 92% | 2000-11-29 | Won |
| 1198 | 1105 | 63% | 2000-06-25 | Won |
| 1140 | 726 | 92% | 1999-08-16 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 1999-07-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1173 | 25% | 1999-01-06 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1019 | 69% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-03-18 | Won |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1998-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1058.7 vs 999.5 has a 58.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).