The Red Wave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 172 (21 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 59
Defender wins (German (SS)): 112
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
988 | 1031 | 44% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
946 | 938 | 51% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
939 | 1188 | 19% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
1188 | 939 | 81% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
1023 | 1012 | 52% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
1032 | 982 | 57% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
961 | 1192 | 21% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
924 | 968 | 44% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
997 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
887 | 968 | 39% | 2019-05-15 | Won |
868 | 847 | 53% | 2017-06-19 | Won |
1188 | 873 | 86% | 2016-12-30 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
985 | 992 | 49% | 2015-10-28 | Lost |
994 | 1062 | 40% | 2008-04-04 | Won |
1083 | 933 | 70% | 2003-10-01 | Lost |
980 | 1142 | 28% | 1999-01-06 | Lost |
955 | 1083 | 32% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1998-03-18 | Won |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 1998-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1012.6 vs 1013.3 has a 49.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).