Hamlet's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (12 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 82
Defender wins (French): 25
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 889 | 72% | 2024-11-06 | Won |
| 967 | 1141 | 27% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2023-12-19 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 943 | 1141 | 24% | 2019-10-03 | Won |
| 1041 | 987 | 58% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1029 | 959 | 60% | 2008-06-10 | Won |
| 1189 | 1033 | 71% | 2006-01-14 | Won |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-05-20 | Won |
| 1116 | 1041 | 61% | 1999-05-10 | Lost |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1998-02-07 | Won |
| 984 | 1122 | 31% | 1997-09-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1053.9 vs 1033.8 has a 52.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).