Hamlet's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 114 (18 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (French): 74
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 866 | 67% | 2024-11-06 | Won |
| 948 | 998 | 43% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 1099 | 944 | 71% | 2023-12-19 | Won |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 948 | 998 | 43% | 2019-10-03 | Won |
| 1029 | 988 | 56% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1035 | 982 | 58% | 2008-06-10 | Won |
| 1212 | 993 | 78% | 2006-01-14 | Won |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2004-05-20 | Won |
| 1060 | 1062 | 50% | 2001-04-21 | Won |
| 1060 | 1070 | 49% | 2000-09-18 | Won |
| 1070 | 1060 | 51% | 2000-09-04 | Won |
| 1105 | 1029 | 61% | 1999-05-10 | Lost |
| 908 | 1060 | 29% | 1998-10-24 | Won |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1998-02-07 | Won |
| 1113 | 1343 | 21% | 1997-11-23 | Lost |
| 987 | 1159 | 27% | 1997-09-01 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1051.8 vs 1043.7 has a 51.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).