Maggot Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Japanese): 6
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1019 | 43% | 2025-09-06 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2025-04-13 | Won |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2024-01-14 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1108 | 49% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1023 | 64% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1037 | 949 | 62% | 2006-08-31 | Lost |
| 1011 | 949 | 59% | 2004-07-25 | Lost |
| 1065 | 998 | 60% | 2002-10-01 | Won |
| 1184 | 1027 | 71% | 2000-08-12 | Won |
| 1282 | 1149 | 68% | 1998-05-17 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Lost |
| 1084 | 830 | 81% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1091.5 vs 1020.1 has a 60.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).