Maggot Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Japanese): 6
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 1013 | 43% | 2025-09-06 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2025-04-13 | Won |
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2024-01-14 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1109 | 46% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1037 | 954 | 62% | 2006-08-31 | Lost |
| 1011 | 954 | 58% | 2004-07-25 | Lost |
| 1010 | 998 | 52% | 2002-10-01 | Won |
| 1185 | 1017 | 72% | 2000-08-12 | Won |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Lost |
| 1118 | 831 | 84% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1069.9 vs 1013.2 has a 58.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).