Maggot Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (14 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 41
Defender wins (American): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 1038 | 37% | 2025-09-06 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2025-04-13 | | Won |
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2024-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1108 | 56% | 2015-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2011-06-18 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2011-06-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2006-08-31 | | Lost |
| 862 | 1151 | 16% | 2006-04-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2004-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 2002-10-01 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1072 | 62% | 2000-08-12 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 1998-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
| 1086 | 832 | 81% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1064.6 vs 1011.4 has a 57.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).