Maggot Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Japanese): 7
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 1089 | 30% | 2025-09-06 | Won |
| 1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2025-04-13 | Won |
| 1097 | 955 | 69% | 2024-01-14 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1107 | 53% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1037 | 909 | 68% | 2006-08-31 | Lost |
| 862 | 1150 | 16% | 2006-04-29 | Won |
| 1011 | 909 | 64% | 2004-07-25 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1006 | 56% | 2002-10-01 | Won |
| 1113 | 1057 | 58% | 2000-08-12 | Won |
| 1263 | 1150 | 66% | 1998-05-17 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1039 | 833 | 77% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1057.9 vs 1020.1 has a 55.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).