The Guns of Naro
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (17 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 41
Defender wins (Italian): 51
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1327 | 1317 | 51% | 2024-02-22 | Won |
1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2022-12-01 | Lost |
971 | 924 | 57% | 2022-07-10 | Lost |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
1109 | 1000 | 65% | 2021-03-14 | Won |
987 | 1027 | 44% | 2021-02-24 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2019-02-24 | Lost |
1068 | 977 | 63% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
986 | 1307 | 14% | 2017-05-05 | Lost |
1197 | 984 | 77% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
1108 | 917 | 75% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
1151 | 954 | 76% | 2014-07-06 | Won |
991 | 949 | 56% | 2013-12-28 | Tied |
1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2012-04-16 | Won |
920 | 994 | 40% | 2000-04-07 | Lost |
1083 | 834 | 81% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1069.8 vs 1030.2 has a 55.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).