ASL Scenario Archive

Kampfgruppe at Karachev

Games with no balance used/recorded: 38

Attacker wins (Russian): 19

Defender wins (German): 18

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1048	1002	57%	2026-01-21	Won
1223	1185	55%	2024-05-30	Won
1127	999	68%	2023-04-09	Won
1220	1266	43%	2022-12-28	Won
1077	967	65%	2022-08-21	Won
984	1002	47%	2021-02-27	Lost
1047	1172	33%	2020-09-21	Won
1020	1020	50%	2020-07-09	Lost
1020	1020	50%	2020-07-09	Lost
1043	1043	50%	2019-01-27	Lost
1009	1080	40%	2019-01-03	Lost
917	940	47%	2018-08-20	Won
1101	1142	44%	2018-08-02	Tied
1022	940	62%	2016-11-25	Lost
1038	980	58%	2015-09-27	Lost
1020	1038	47%	2015-09-11	Lost
1144	909	79%	2015-08-06	Won
969	1066	36%	2014-12-06	Won
959	1093	32%	2012-03-30	Won
1128	982	70%	2012-03-17	Won
985	951	55%	2012-01-21	Lost
939	969	46%	2010-01-17	Won
1118	1034	62%	2008-02-03	Won
993	1178	26%	2006-06-22	Lost
1115	1141	46%	2005-04-09	Lost
925	1060	31%	2004-09-10	Lost
1163	1118	56%	2003-06-20	Won
1035	1103	40%	2003-01-27	Lost
1038	1141	36%	2001-10-02	Won
1263	976	84%	2001-05-26	Won
1101	1095	51%	2000-12-06	Lost
1095	1101	49%	2000-11-23	Lost
1182	1101	61%	2000-10-29	Won
1101	992	65%	2000-10-22	Lost
1033	1042	49%	2000-10-01	Won
1026	1060	45%	2000-05-29	Won
1343	1096	81%	2000-04-15	Lost
1096	1159	41%	2000-03-04	Lost

Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1070.2 vs 1056.9 has a 51.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).