The Capture of Balta
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German / Romanian): 5
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German / Romanian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 954 | 62% | 2024-02-12 | Won |
| 1097 | 955 | 69% | 2023-06-18 | Won |
| 1144 | 909 | 79% | 2016-08-07 | Lost |
| 999 | 1226 | 21% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 1039 | 948 | 63% | 2015-06-08 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
| 983 | 957 | 54% | 2008-07-24 | Won |
| 1233 | 1133 | 64% | 2007-07-14 | Won |
| 1150 | 1099 | 57% | 2006-10-22 | Won |
| 1091 | 1036 | 58% | 2005-04-23 | Tied |
| 970 | 1060 | 37% | 2002-07-25 | Lost |
| 970 | 1060 | 37% | 2002-06-16 | Won |
| 1113 | 1032 | 61% | 2001-02-23 | Won |
| 1101 | 994 | 65% | 2001-01-06 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1263 | 44% | 2000-04-30 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1036 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1084.8 vs 1041.8 has a 56.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).