The Capture of Balta
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German / Romanian): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German / Romanian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1004 | 54% | 2024-02-12 | Won |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2023-06-18 | Won |
| 1144 | 944 | 76% | 2016-08-07 | Lost |
| 999 | 1223 | 22% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 1032 | 943 | 63% | 2015-06-08 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1005 | 58% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
| 967 | 959 | 51% | 2008-07-24 | Won |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2007-07-14 | Won |
| 1113 | 1099 | 52% | 2006-10-22 | Won |
| 1091 | 1037 | 58% | 2005-04-23 | Tied |
| 1223 | 1032 | 75% | 2001-02-23 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 2001-01-06 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1029 | 64% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1090.8 vs 1021.4 has a 59.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).