Tretten in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (British): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 1078 | 51% | 2025-03-24 | Won |
| 1042 | 1040 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
| 1064 | 1117 | 42% | 2023-05-20 | Won |
| 1431 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-11-25 | Won |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2022-04-11 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
| 900 | 973 | 40% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 946 | 949 | 50% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1268 | 1242 | 54% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
| 977 | 1037 | 41% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1060 | 890 | 73% | 2013-08-21 | Won |
| 1070 | 951 | 66% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
| 1096 | 943 | 71% | 2012-11-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 983 | 60% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 1044 | 892 | 71% | 2008-09-09 | Won |
| 1036 | 984 | 57% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 1054 | 928 | 67% | 2004-02-07 | Won |
| 1130 | 1152 | 47% | 2002-10-10 | Won |
| 1100 | 927 | 73% | 2002-04-13 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2002-03-19 | Won |
| 1277 | 1115 | 72% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 1050 | 1103 | 42% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 992 | 1036 | 44% | 2002-01-11 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 982 | 1034 | 43% | 2001-10-16 | Won |
| 1189 | 1091 | 64% | 2001-07-08 | Won |
| 1115 | 1154 | 44% | 2001-07-05 | Lost |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1077.1 vs 1029.5 has a 56.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).