3rd RTR in the Rain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109
Attacker wins (British): 53
Defender wins (German): 54
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2025-08-26 | Won |
| 894 | 909 | 48% | 2025-05-17 | Won |
| 950 | 886 | 59% | 2025-04-23 | Won |
| 910 | 925 | 48% | 2025-03-23 | Won |
| 1107 | 1110 | 50% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2024-08-17 | Won |
| 873 | 873 | 50% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 1031 | 764 | 82% | 2024-03-13 | Won |
| 1027 | 873 | 71% | 2023-11-29 | Won |
| 1104 | 1016 | 62% | 2023-07-21 | Won |
| 951 | 970 | 47% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
| 1142 | 969 | 73% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 1006 | 927 | 61% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1049 | 997 | 57% | 2023-02-28 | Won |
| 1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2023-02-28 | Won |
| 1100 | 932 | 72% | 2023-01-25 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
| 975 | 976 | 50% | 2022-10-29 | Lost |
| 999 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-10-29 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
| 966 | 994 | 46% | 2022-04-19 | Lost |
| 994 | 966 | 54% | 2022-04-13 | Won |
| 1020 | 1007 | 52% | 2021-04-04 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1098 | 37% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1064 | 63% | 2020-09-21 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 909 | 999 | 37% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 1025 | 1149 | 33% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1023 | 50% | 2020-06-12 | Won |
| 964 | 1268 | 15% | 2020-04-28 | Lost |
| 915 | 982 | 40% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1012 | 49% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 1118 | 1151 | 45% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1044 | 993 | 57% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 909 | 1030 | 33% | 2020-04-02 | Lost |
| 1010 | 909 | 64% | 2020-02-22 | Won |
| 946 | 764 | 74% | 2020-02-02 | Lost |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2019-05-31 | Won |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2019-05-31 | Won |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2018-05-17 | Won |
| 1115 | 914 | 76% | 2018-01-26 | Won |
| 983 | 1163 | 26% | 2017-11-23 | Lost |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1067 | 764 | 85% | 2016-06-14 | Lost |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2015-06-18 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1329 | 19% | 2015-05-09 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2015-05-05 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1001 | 71% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
| 976 | 1032 | 42% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2014-11-06 | Won |
| 1057 | 1324 | 18% | 2014-10-11 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1019 | 54% | 2014-07-13 | Lost |
| 917 | 1037 | 33% | 2014-05-20 | Lost |
| 917 | 1037 | 33% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1154 | 42% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
| 1039 | 1025 | 52% | 2013-03-02 | Won |
| 1098 | 1064 | 55% | 2012-12-08 | Won |
| 1324 | 1052 | 83% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 994 | 936 | 58% | 2012-07-18 | Won |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2012-07-07 | Tied |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2012-04-29 | Won |
| 1106 | 1002 | 65% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2011-09-11 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1098 | 56% | 2011-09-11 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1026 | 51% | 2011-03-14 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1025 | 54% | 2011-03-01 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1125 | 45% | 2011-01-05 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1135 | 48% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1159 | 34% | 2010-06-12 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1077 | 42% | 2010-03-14 | Won |
| 1145 | 932 | 77% | 2010-03-14 | Lost |
| 888 | 1020 | 32% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1044 | 1020 | 53% | 2010-03-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 851 | 73% | 2010-02-11 | Won |
| 1101 | 1152 | 43% | 2009-10-07 | Won |
| 1413 | 982 | 92% | 2009-09-13 | Won |
| 1329 | 1087 | 80% | 2009-09-13 | Lost |
| 992 | 1329 | 13% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
| 1179 | 1413 | 21% | 2009-05-17 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2009-05-10 | Won |
| 1096 | 1030 | 59% | 2009-04-01 | Won |
| 1117 | 1132 | 48% | 2009-03-07 | Won |
| 756 | 1011 | 19% | 2009-01-02 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1044 | 47% | 2008-10-24 | Won |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2008-09-13 | Won |
| 985 | 1099 | 34% | 2008-04-26 | Lost |
| 998 | 958 | 56% | 2007-07-12 | Won |
| 1016 | 1015 | 50% | 2007-05-16 | Won |
| 1275 | 1034 | 80% | 2007-01-02 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1413 | 14% | 2006-10-13 | Lost |
| 1163 | 986 | 73% | 2006-01-25 | Won |
| 1189 | 986 | 76% | 2006-01-25 | Won |
| 1105 | 1050 | 58% | 2005-01-22 | Lost |
| 1100 | 947 | 71% | 2004-12-11 | Won |
| 846 | 1046 | 24% | 2004-11-08 | Won |
| 1120 | 1055 | 59% | 2004-09-21 | Lost |
| 901 | 928 | 46% | 2004-02-04 | Won |
| 1050 | 914 | 69% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2002-03-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 1115 | 32% | 2001-12-19 | Lost |
| 981 | 1107 | 33% | 2001-12-13 | Lost |
| 932 | 926 | 51% | 2001-10-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2001-09-19 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2001-09-18 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 2001-06-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1064 | 55% | 2000-08-26 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | Lost | |
| 1090 | 847 | 80% | Lost |
Attacking (54 wins) average ELOs: 1036.1 vs 1032.6 has a 50.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).