"They're Here! Reverse!"
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Italian): 4
Defender wins (British): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-09-20 | Won |
| 948 | 1011 | 41% | 2022-05-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1002 | 51% | 2020-07-30 | Lost |
| 948 | 955 | 49% | 2020-05-16 | Won |
| 1216 | 932 | 84% | 2019-11-15 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1310 | 23% | 2017-06-09 | Won |
| 1142 | 969 | 73% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 866 | 937 | 40% | 2012-11-15 | Won |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2007-04-22 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2006-05-20 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1076 | 48% | 2001-12-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1053 vs 1019.5 has a 54.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).