In the Bag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (12 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1158 | 44% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1065 | 67% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1065 | 69% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2013-07-12 | Won |
| 1229 | 1068 | 72% | 2011-10-23 | Won |
| 1117 | 980 | 69% | 2011-05-20 | Won |
| 1055 | 1041 | 52% | 2002-03-03 | Lost |
| 969 | 1027 | 42% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-08-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1080.1 vs 1048.1 has a 54.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).