In the Bag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (12 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1171 | 1137 | 55% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
| 893 | 1183 | 16% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 893 | 1183 | 16% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1045 | 70% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1045 | 65% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 976 | 962 | 52% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2013-07-12 | Won |
| 1195 | 1014 | 74% | 2011-10-23 | Won |
| 1055 | 805 | 81% | 2011-05-20 | Won |
| 1039 | 1040 | 50% | 2002-03-03 | Lost |
| 968 | 1002 | 45% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-08-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1057.1 vs 1042.6 has a 52.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).