In the Bag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (14 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1146 | 1161 | 48% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
| 998 | 1063 | 41% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 998 | 1063 | 41% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 1187 | 998 | 75% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 1189 | 998 | 75% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2013-07-12 | Won |
| 1172 | 1062 | 65% | 2011-10-23 | Won |
| 1135 | 1099 | 55% | 2011-05-20 | Won |
| 1048 | 1343 | 15% | 2002-10-12 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1044 | 52% | 2002-03-03 | Lost |
| 968 | 1003 | 45% | 2001-10-05 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-08-15 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1041 | 48% | 2001-06-18 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1067.5 vs 1065.5 has a 50.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).