In the Bag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (10 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 36
Defender wins (German): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1065 | 1043 | 53% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
1148 | 992 | 71% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
984 | 970 | 52% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2013-07-12 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2011-10-23 | Won |
989 | 1204 | 22% | 2011-05-20 | Won |
1069 | 1063 | 51% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-08-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1014.4 vs 1049.1 has a 45.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).