In the Bag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (12 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1137 | 52% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 1154 | 983 | 73% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 1223 | 983 | 80% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-07-12 | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2011-10-23 | Won |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2011-05-20 | Won |
| 1043 | 1044 | 50% | 2002-03-03 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1014 | 55% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-08-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.6 vs 1055.9 has a 49.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).