In the Bag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (14 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1145 | 1161 | 48% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
| 992 | 1099 | 35% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 992 | 1099 | 35% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1016 | 65% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1016 | 62% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 943 | 943 | 50% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1063 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-07-12 | Won |
| 1185 | 1060 | 67% | 2011-10-23 | Won |
| 1146 | 981 | 72% | 2011-05-20 | Won |
| 1032 | 1344 | 14% | 2002-10-12 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1044 | 52% | 2002-03-03 | Lost |
| 968 | 1060 | 37% | 2001-10-05 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-08-15 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1041 | 48% | 2001-06-18 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1062.6 vs 1068.5 has a 49.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).