Silesian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 336 (56 on the archive and 280 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 167
Defender wins (Russian): 169
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1110 | 55% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 1219 | 964 | 81% | 2025-02-12 | Won |
| 984 | 1036 | 43% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 948 | 998 | 43% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1226 | 24% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1052 | 60% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2023-07-11 | Won |
| 868 | 984 | 34% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1225 | 32% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 998 | 1079 | 39% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1014 | 55% | 2020-07-10 | Won |
| 993 | 1217 | 22% | 2019-12-23 | Won |
| 982 | 1147 | 28% | 2019-09-19 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1097 | 49% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 962 | 1028 | 41% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 986 | 966 | 53% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 953 | 1263 | 14% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 933 | 1120 | 25% | 2018-02-03 | Lost |
| 933 | 1120 | 25% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1127 | 62% | 2017-06-11 | Won |
| 909 | 1144 | 21% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2016-09-13 | Lost |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-11 | Lost |
| 985 | 1101 | 34% | 2014-11-08 | Lost |
| 1107 | 988 | 66% | 2014-10-04 | Lost |
| 1127 | 964 | 72% | 2013-10-13 | Won |
| 844 | 1147 | 15% | 2012-08-06 | Lost |
| 929 | 982 | 42% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1075 | 48% | 2010-11-26 | Won |
| 1053 | 1019 | 55% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1094 | 68% | 2010-10-16 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1070 | 70% | 2010-03-23 | Won |
| 904 | 1102 | 24% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1011 | 68% | 2009-12-06 | Won |
| 1015 | 1107 | 37% | 2008-11-05 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1102 | 42% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
| 1150 | 1434 | 16% | 2006-07-16 | Won |
| 1135 | 1233 | 36% | 2006-04-04 | Lost |
| 1070 | 893 | 73% | 2005-04-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1020 | 76% | 2005-03-23 | Won |
| 866 | 1060 | 25% | 2004-06-25 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2002-09-21 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1122 | 51% | 2002-09-05 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1132 | 51% | 2002-05-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1342 | 13% | 2002-04-12 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1105 | 49% | 2001-10-13 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1021 | 56% | 2001-08-26 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2001-07-27 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-07-18 | Won |
| 1021 | 1110 | 37% | 2001-07-11 | Won |
| 1140 | 1008 | 68% | 2001-06-30 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1179 | 72% | 2001-06-24 | Won |
| 995 | 1057 | 41% | 2001-06-22 | Won |
| 994 | 1101 | 35% | 2001-06-02 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1049.1 vs 1090.3 has a 44.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).