The Army at the Edge of the World
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (14 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 43
Defender wins (French): 41
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 962 | 67% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1205 | 1034 | 73% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 954 | 865 | 63% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 986 | 1024 | 45% | 2017-07-29 | Won |
| 1058 | 1024 | 55% | 2016-10-07 | Won |
| 940 | 1050 | 35% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 889 | 1003 | 34% | 2014-01-31 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1058 | 43% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 1042 | 1092 | 43% | 2005-09-11 | Won |
| 1225 | 1161 | 59% | 2004-05-01 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1310 | 32% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1142 | 53% | 2002-12-29 | Lost |
| 901 | 1024 | 33% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1105 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1047.9 vs 1061 has a 48.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).