The Army at the Edge of the World
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (15 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 43
Defender wins (French): 42
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1039 | 45% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1189 | 1035 | 71% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 946 | 1030 | 38% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 987 | 1065 | 39% | 2017-07-29 | Won |
| 1057 | 1028 | 54% | 2016-10-07 | Won |
| 942 | 1051 | 35% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 890 | 1007 | 34% | 2014-01-31 | Lost |
| 1011 | 755 | 81% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 1073 | 1092 | 47% | 2005-09-11 | Won |
| 1233 | 1127 | 65% | 2004-05-01 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1152 | 34% | 2003-10-08 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1209 | 46% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 2002-12-29 | Lost |
| 900 | 1028 | 32% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1103 | 39% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1040.1 vs 1056.1 has a 47.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).