The Army at the Edge of the World
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (18 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (Vichy): 49
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Vichy): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 1043 | 43% | 2024-08-24 | A | Won |
| 1063 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-11-08 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1000 | 44% | 2020-04-23 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 1012 | 58% | 2017-07-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1311 | 14% | 2017-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1311 | 1235 | 61% | 2017-06-04 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1078 | 47% | 2016-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2014-11-10 | | Won |
| 891 | 1000 | 35% | 2014-01-31 | | Lost |
| 998 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-09-29 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2005-09-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2004-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1311 | 14% | 2004-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1169 | 27% | 2003-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1336 | 13% | 2003-07-26 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2002-12-29 | | Lost |
| 900 | 1078 | 26% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1202 | 25% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1026.1 vs 1111.4 has a 37.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).