The Army at the Edge of the World
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (18 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (French): 49
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 987 | 59% | 2024-08-24 | A | Won |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2020-11-08 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2020-04-23 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 1080 | 49% | 2017-07-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2017-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1317 | 42% | 2017-06-04 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1098 | 45% | 2016-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2014-11-10 | | Won |
| 891 | 1000 | 35% | 2014-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2009-09-29 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2005-09-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2004-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2004-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2003-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1241 | 20% | 2003-07-26 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2002-12-29 | | Lost |
| 900 | 1098 | 24% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1086 | 39% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1027 vs 1096.1 has a 40.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).