Egypt's Last Hope
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (9 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (British): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 957 | 75% | 2026-09-23 | | Won |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2026-08-23 | | Lost |
| 750 | 1059 | 14% | 2021-10-01 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1147 | 25% | 2020-06-21 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1147 | 25% | 2020-06-20 | | Lost |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-12-31 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 692 | 90% | 2016-11-15 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1133 | 46% | 2014-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2013-08-03 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1006.7 vs 1016.8 has a 48.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).