Pavlov's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1117 | 32% | 2025-08-24 | Won |
| 1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2022-01-01 | Won |
| 948 | 1061 | 34% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1011 | 959 | 57% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1011 | 959 | 57% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 959 | 1011 | 43% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
| 959 | 1011 | 43% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
| 967 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2016-03-02 | Lost |
| 850 | 858 | 49% | 2015-10-21 | Lost |
| 848 | 1022 | 27% | 2011-11-08 | Lost |
| 963 | 984 | 47% | 2011-08-30 | Won |
| 1101 | 1179 | 39% | 2011-04-03 | Won |
| 1070 | 937 | 68% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
| 1219 | 1151 | 60% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
| 1056 | 1219 | 28% | 2006-02-17 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1060 | 50% | 2004-05-10 | Lost |
| 897 | 1029 | 32% | 2000-01-18 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1001.7 vs 1031.9 has a 45.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).