Pavlov's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 1015 | 45% | 2025-08-24 | Won |
| 1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
| 1057 | 1009 | 57% | 2022-01-01 | Won |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 939 | 1012 | 40% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 939 | 1012 | 40% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1012 | 939 | 60% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
| 1012 | 939 | 60% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
| 967 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2016-03-02 | Lost |
| 847 | 856 | 49% | 2015-10-21 | Lost |
| 879 | 1022 | 31% | 2011-11-08 | Lost |
| 963 | 950 | 52% | 2011-08-30 | Won |
| 1101 | 891 | 77% | 2011-04-03 | Won |
| 1086 | 939 | 70% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
| 1274 | 1021 | 81% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
| 1056 | 1274 | 22% | 2006-02-17 | Lost |
| 973 | 1068 | 37% | 2004-05-10 | Lost |
| 910 | 1053 | 31% | 2000-01-18 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1002.2 vs 1000.5 has a 50.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).