Pavlov's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (15 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
1004 | 1020 | 48% | 2022-01-01 | Won |
923 | 1093 | 27% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
982 | 991 | 49% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
991 | 982 | 51% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
966 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
1026 | 992 | 55% | 2016-03-02 | Lost |
847 | 853 | 49% | 2015-10-21 | Lost |
902 | 1003 | 36% | 2011-11-08 | Lost |
963 | 997 | 45% | 2011-08-30 | Won |
1097 | 886 | 77% | 2011-04-03 | Won |
1067 | 937 | 68% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
1300 | 979 | 86% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
1226 | 1300 | 40% | 2006-02-17 | Lost |
850 | 973 | 33% | 2000-01-18 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1012.9 vs 1003 has a 51.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).