The Sooner The Better
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (9 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 939 | 48% | 2026-04-05 | Won |
| 948 | 983 | 45% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1063 | 51% | 2020-01-13 | Won |
| 1073 | 1060 | 52% | 2019-11-16 | Tied |
| 1033 | 965 | 60% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1146 | 40% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-09-08 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1092 | 55% | 2006-06-07 | Won |
| 1162 | 1076 | 62% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1074.7 vs 1038.1 has a 55.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).