The Sooner The Better
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (7 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
943 | 1032 | 37% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
1050 | 1027 | 53% | 2020-01-13 | Won |
1050 | 1059 | 49% | 2019-11-16 | Tied |
1033 | 966 | 60% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
1089 | 1058 | 54% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
1242 | 1018 | 78% | 2011-09-08 | Lost |
1099 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-06-07 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1072.3 vs 1036.6 has a 55.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).