The Sooner The Better
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (8 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 947 | 50% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1035 | 49% | 2020-01-13 | Won |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | 2019-11-16 | Tied |
| 1034 | 950 | 62% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1060 | 54% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1020 | 78% | 2011-09-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2006-06-07 | Won |
| 1144 | 1200 | 42% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1078.6 vs 1041.6 has a 55.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).