Hill 621
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 291 (49 on the archive and 242 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 155
Defender wins (German): 134
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 873 | 873 | 50% | 2025-08-20 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1268 | 46% | 2025-03-17 | Won |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2024-02-15 | Won |
| 1049 | 997 | 57% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 974 | 1189 | 22% | 2023-10-03 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2023-05-18 | Won |
| 1268 | 1016 | 81% | 2022-06-24 | Won |
| 1037 | 1019 | 53% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 1219 | 1339 | 33% | 2020-04-10 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1019 | 54% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1009 | 70% | 2019-12-02 | Lost |
| 1022 | 764 | 82% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1268 | 1019 | 81% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 909 | 1050 | 31% | 2019-03-21 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2019-03-17 | Lost |
| 738 | 1103 | 11% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
| 998 | 1017 | 47% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
| 889 | 926 | 45% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
| 1020 | 964 | 58% | 2017-08-05 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1009 | 70% | 2015-09-14 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1268 | 38% | 2014-06-23 | Won |
| 1107 | 1013 | 63% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-04-24 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2013-02-04 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1097 | 52% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1050 | 969 | 61% | 2010-01-03 | Won |
| 1011 | 1329 | 14% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
| 1050 | 969 | 61% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2009-03-30 | Lost |
| 1118 | 694 | 92% | 2009-03-28 | Won |
| 1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
| 1413 | 1329 | 62% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
| 983 | 1041 | 42% | 2005-12-15 | Lost |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2005-06-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 1095 | 38% | 2005-05-06 | Lost |
| 928 | 875 | 58% | 2004-05-13 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1050 | 52% | 2001-10-19 | Won |
| 1152 | 1182 | 46% | 2001-06-16 | Lost |
| 1044 | 916 | 68% | 1999-06-15 | Tied |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 1998-12-18 | Won |
| 1189 | 1118 | 60% | 1995-06-11 | Won |
| 985 | 1020 | 45% | 1992-08-30 | Tied |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1068 vs 1043 has a 53.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).