Hill 621
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 302 (56 on the archive and 246 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 160
Defender wins (German): 140
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1017 | 53% | 2026-03-21 | Won |
| 1059 | 1046 | 52% | 2026-03-14 | Won |
| 1044 | 999 | 56% | 2025-10-28 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1008 | 51% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 892 | 1190 | 15% | 2025-08-20 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1213 | 49% | 2025-03-17 | Won |
| 980 | 1073 | 37% | 2024-02-15 | Won |
| 976 | 993 | 48% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1060 | 1022 | 55% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 997 | 1176 | 26% | 2023-10-03 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1110 | 40% | 2023-05-18 | Won |
| 1213 | 999 | 77% | 2022-06-24 | Won |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 1218 | 931 | 84% | 2020-04-10 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1019 | 54% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1047 | 65% | 2019-12-02 | Lost |
| 989 | 1144 | 29% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1213 | 1044 | 73% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1008 | 1022 | 48% | 2019-03-21 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2019-03-17 | Lost |
| 756 | 1088 | 13% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
| 912 | 1102 | 25% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
| 893 | 930 | 45% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
| 1108 | 900 | 77% | 2017-08-05 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1038 | 45% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1047 | 65% | 2015-09-14 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1213 | 29% | 2014-06-23 | Won |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-04-24 | Won |
| 1117 | 976 | 69% | 2013-02-04 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1097 | 44% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1066 | 969 | 64% | 2010-01-03 | Won |
| 1011 | 1252 | 20% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
| 1066 | 969 | 64% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2009-03-30 | Lost |
| 1059 | 694 | 89% | 2009-03-28 | Won |
| 1073 | 980 | 63% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
| 1424 | 1252 | 73% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
| 983 | 1036 | 42% | 2005-12-15 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2005-06-23 | Won |
| 1049 | 1238 | 25% | 2005-06-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 1096 | 38% | 2005-05-06 | Lost |
| 927 | 875 | 57% | 2004-05-13 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1066 | 53% | 2001-10-19 | Won |
| 1344 | 920 | 92% | 2001-07-24 | Won |
| 1140 | 1185 | 44% | 2001-06-16 | Lost |
| 1073 | 910 | 72% | 1999-06-15 | Tied |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 1998-12-18 | Won |
| 1264 | 1149 | 66% | 1998-05-16 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1118 | 58% | 1995-06-11 | Won |
| 983 | 1108 | 33% | 1992-08-30 | Tied |
Attacking (28 wins) average ELOs: 1069.4 vs 1045.6 has a 53.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).