Hill 621
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 309 (59 on the archive and 250 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 164
Defender wins (German): 143
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 1044 | 44% | 2026-08-04 | | Won |
| 1291 | 729 | 96% | 2026-05-25 | | Won |
| 944 | 1028 | 38% | 2026-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 995 | 61% | 2026-03-21 | | Won |
| 1109 | 1000 | 65% | 2026-03-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2025-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2025-10-09 | | Lost |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2025-08-20 | | Lost |
| 1170 | 1291 | 33% | 2025-03-17 | | Won |
| 939 | 1176 | 20% | 2024-02-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2024-01-18 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-01-18 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1117 | 36% | 2023-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2023-05-18 | | Won |
| 1291 | 984 | 85% | 2022-06-24 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-04-27 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2020-06-02 | | Won |
| 1218 | 916 | 85% | 2020-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-01-04 | | Won |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2020-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2019-12-02 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-07-26 | | Won |
| 1291 | 1000 | 84% | 2019-06-22 | | Won |
| 966 | 1009 | 44% | 2019-03-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-03-17 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1088 | 9% | 2019-01-18 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2019-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 930 | 60% | 2018-08-06 | | Won |
| 991 | 1122 | 32% | 2017-08-05 | | Lost |
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2016-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2015-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1291 | 29% | 2014-06-23 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2013-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2013-06-23 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-04-24 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2010-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 970 | 65% | 2010-01-03 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1219 | 24% | 2009-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 970 | 65% | 2009-04-04 | | Won |
| 973 | 1000 | 46% | 2009-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1109 | 695 | 92% | 2009-03-28 | | Won |
| 1176 | 939 | 80% | 2008-10-25 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1219 | 78% | 2006-09-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2005-12-15 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2005-06-23 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1226 | 25% | 2005-06-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1096 | 37% | 2005-05-06 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1000 | 37% | 2004-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 1074 | 52% | 2001-10-19 | | Won |
| 1343 | 920 | 92% | 2001-07-24 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2001-06-16 | | Lost |
| 1176 | 1000 | 73% | 1999-06-15 | | Tied |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 1998-12-18 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1998-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | 1995-06-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 1992-08-30 | | Tied |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1071.4 vs 1022.2 has a 57.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).