Hill 621
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 279 (41 on the archive and 238 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 147
Defender wins (German): 130
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 1075 | 50% | 2024-02-15 | Won |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 991 | 1150 | 29% | 2023-10-03 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1077 | 51% | 2023-05-18 | Won |
| 1234 | 978 | 81% | 2022-06-24 | Won |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1223 | 1007 | 78% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 1214 | 1334 | 33% | 2020-04-10 | Lost |
| 994 | 1071 | 39% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 982 | 1107 | 33% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2019-12-02 | Lost |
| 990 | 990 | 50% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1234 | 1083 | 70% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 954 | 1045 | 37% | 2019-03-21 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2019-03-17 | Lost |
| 823 | 1088 | 18% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
| 934 | 898 | 55% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
| 888 | 935 | 43% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
| 970 | 991 | 47% | 2017-08-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1017 | 50% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2015-09-14 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1234 | 34% | 2014-06-23 | Won |
| 1100 | 1043 | 58% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-04-24 | Won |
| 958 | 977 | 47% | 2013-02-04 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1097 | 52% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1307 | 15% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1005 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1005 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2009-03-30 | Lost |
| 1015 | 697 | 86% | 2009-03-28 | Won |
| 1075 | 1078 | 50% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
| 1397 | 1307 | 63% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
| 983 | 1037 | 42% | 2005-12-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 1154 | 28% | 2005-06-10 | Won |
| 1010 | 1098 | 38% | 2005-05-06 | Lost |
| 931 | 875 | 58% | 2004-05-13 | Lost |
| 1075 | 912 | 72% | 1999-06-15 | Tied |
| 1150 | 1138 | 52% | 1995-06-11 | Won |
| 983 | 970 | 52% | 1992-08-30 | Tied |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1055 vs 1049.9 has a 50.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).