The Paw of the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (11 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 1034 | 30% | 2026-03-31 | Lost |
| 982 | 979 | 50% | 2026-03-22 | Won |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2024-06-02 | Won |
| 1162 | 980 | 74% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 974 | 982 | 49% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 893 | 1085 | 25% | 2020-05-20 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1085 | 41% | 2020-02-21 | Lost |
| 943 | 1065 | 33% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2015-10-24 | Lost |
| 904 | 1102 | 24% | 2008-11-09 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1010.6 vs 1067.9 has a 41.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).