Escape from Velikiye Luki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (34 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 57
Defender wins (Russian): 36
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1181 | 26% | 2026-07-05 | D | Lost |
| 1161 | 1102 | 58% | 2026-07-05 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1036 | 54% | 2026-06-06 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1187 | 26% | 2025-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2023-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2022-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-10-17 | | Won |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2021-01-02 | | Lost |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2021-01-02 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-12-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2019-06-10 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1116 | 45% | 2019-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1116 | 1080 | 55% | 2019-01-11 | | Won |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2018-07-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2017-10-21 | | Won |
| 992 | 1099 | 35% | 2016-10-12 | | Won |
| 980 | 845 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | | Won |
| 980 | 845 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | | Won |
| 1040 | 980 | 59% | 2015-05-09 | | Won |
| 1241 | 1156 | 62% | 2015-04-12 | | Won |
| 1081 | 1063 | 53% | 2014-08-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2014-03-30 | | Won |
| 952 | 1055 | 36% | 2014-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2013-09-17 | | Lost |
| 891 | 951 | 41% | 2013-09-09 | | Won |
| 891 | 1000 | 35% | 2013-09-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2012-10-06 | | Won |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2012-05-11 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2011-12-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 906 | 63% | 2011-04-19 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2009-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 990 | 56% | 2006-11-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2000-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 1998-07-12 | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1022.3 vs 1024.8 has a 49.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).