Escape from Velikiye Luki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (34 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 57
Defender wins (Russian): 36
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1188 | 25% | 2026-07-05 | D | Lost |
| 1179 | 1133 | 57% | 2026-07-05 | | Won |
| 1087 | 1019 | 60% | 2026-06-06 | | Won |
| 978 | 1272 | 16% | 2025-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2023-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2022-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2021-10-17 | | Won |
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2021-01-02 | | Lost |
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2021-01-02 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-12-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2019-06-10 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1116 | 45% | 2019-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1116 | 1080 | 55% | 2019-01-11 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2018-07-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2017-10-21 | | Won |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2016-10-12 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | | Won |
| 1086 | 953 | 68% | 2015-05-09 | | Won |
| 1170 | 1126 | 56% | 2015-04-12 | | Won |
| 1049 | 1036 | 52% | 2014-08-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2014-03-30 | | Won |
| 1012 | 1055 | 44% | 2014-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2013-09-17 | | Lost |
| 891 | 951 | 41% | 2013-09-09 | | Won |
| 891 | 1000 | 35% | 2013-09-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2012-10-06 | | Won |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2012-05-11 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2011-12-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 896 | 65% | 2011-04-19 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2009-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 990 | 56% | 2006-11-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2000-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 1998-07-12 | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1024 vs 1027.9 has a 49.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).