Escape from Velikiye Luki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1148 | 1129 | 53% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1068 | 48% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1035 | 61% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 968 | 1013 | 44% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 968 | 1013 | 44% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 938 | 937 | 50% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 1009 | 1128 | 34% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 1074 | 1100 | 46% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1074 | 54% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 955 | 937 | 53% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 861 | 1128 | 18% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1023 | 1011 | 52% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1260 | 933 | 87% | 2015-04-12 | Won |
| 1035 | 1084 | 43% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
| 889 | 955 | 41% | 2014-03-30 | Won |
| 1005 | 1054 | 43% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1051 | 46% | 2013-09-17 | Lost |
| 889 | 951 | 41% | 2013-09-09 | Won |
| 889 | 969 | 39% | 2013-09-02 | Won |
| 994 | 1067 | 40% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 963 | 1154 | 25% | 2012-05-11 | Won |
| 1130 | 1116 | 52% | 2011-12-22 | Won |
| 946 | 929 | 52% | 2011-04-19 | Lost |
| 1001 | 872 | 68% | 2009-04-30 | Lost |
| 1025 | 991 | 55% | 2006-11-01 | Won |
| 1077 | 1048 | 54% | 2000-01-15 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1075 | 44% | 1998-07-12 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1010.4 vs 1016.2 has a 49.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).