Escape from Velikiye Luki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1257 | 22% | 2025-05-31 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1127 | 50% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1102 | 50% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1087 | 65% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 1017 | 802 | 78% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 1014 | 1203 | 25% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 1074 | 1105 | 46% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1074 | 54% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 949 | 802 | 70% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 893 | 1203 | 14% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1207 | 949 | 82% | 2015-04-12 | Won |
| 1028 | 1051 | 47% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
| 888 | 927 | 44% | 2014-03-30 | Won |
| 1049 | 1054 | 49% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 996 | 1051 | 42% | 2013-09-17 | Lost |
| 890 | 951 | 41% | 2013-09-09 | Won |
| 890 | 969 | 39% | 2013-09-02 | Won |
| 995 | 1067 | 40% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 963 | 950 | 52% | 2012-05-11 | Won |
| 1151 | 1123 | 54% | 2011-12-22 | Won |
| 954 | 919 | 55% | 2011-04-19 | Lost |
| 974 | 872 | 64% | 2009-04-30 | Lost |
| 1025 | 990 | 55% | 2006-11-01 | Won |
| 1078 | 1123 | 44% | 2000-01-15 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1075 | 50% | 1998-07-12 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1017.9 vs 1019.5 has a 49.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).