Escape from Velikiye Luki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1266 | 19% | 2025-05-31 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1122 | 54% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1092 | 50% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
| 1241 | 1085 | 71% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 1032 | 748 | 84% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 1009 | 1199 | 25% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 1075 | 1100 | 46% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1075 | 54% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 943 | 748 | 75% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 869 | 1199 | 13% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1264 | 1017 | 81% | 2015-04-12 | Won |
| 1026 | 1080 | 42% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
| 889 | 993 | 35% | 2014-03-30 | Won |
| 973 | 1054 | 39% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 996 | 1051 | 42% | 2013-09-17 | Lost |
| 889 | 951 | 41% | 2013-09-09 | Won |
| 889 | 968 | 39% | 2013-09-02 | Won |
| 995 | 1066 | 40% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 963 | 1209 | 20% | 2012-05-11 | Won |
| 1141 | 1117 | 53% | 2011-12-22 | Won |
| 1199 | 919 | 83% | 2011-04-19 | Lost |
| 1019 | 871 | 70% | 2009-04-30 | Lost |
| 1025 | 991 | 55% | 2006-11-01 | Won |
| 1067 | 1128 | 41% | 2000-01-15 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1075 | 50% | 1998-07-12 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1025.4 vs 1029.5 has a 49.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).