The Bitche Salient
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1004 | 1032 | 46% | 2021-02-27 | Won |
966 | 846 | 67% | 2019-01-16 | Lost |
1219 | 1015 | 76% | 2016-08-21 | Won |
1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2015-05-22 | Won |
1063 | 981 | 62% | 2015-01-05 | Won |
1110 | 1223 | 34% | 1994-12-17 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1097.5 vs 1038.8 has a 58.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).