The Bitche Salient
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (7 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2021-02-27 | | Won |
| 940 | 873 | 60% | 2019-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1033 | 64% | 2016-08-21 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2015-05-22 | | Won |
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2015-01-05 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1998-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 1994-12-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1091.9 vs 1000.7 has a 62.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).