Ranger Stronghold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 254 (41 on the archive and 213 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 170
Defender wins (American): 84
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 953 | 54% | 2025-06-02 | Lost |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 991 | 916 | 61% | 2020-10-13 | Won |
| 1092 | 1009 | 62% | 2020-05-06 | Won |
| 768 | 1029 | 18% | 2020-04-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 916 | 80% | 2020-02-11 | Won |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2019-04-25 | Won |
| 906 | 1018 | 34% | 2019-04-09 | Won |
| 1056 | 1035 | 53% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 968 | 1019 | 43% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 1084 | 1058 | 54% | 2017-04-22 | Won |
| 961 | 1110 | 30% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 1075 | 925 | 70% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 973 | 877 | 63% | 2017-03-02 | Won |
| 906 | 1020 | 34% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 906 | 974 | 40% | 2017-01-12 | Won |
| 1199 | 960 | 80% | 2016-07-05 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-01-10 | Won |
| 847 | 1014 | 28% | 2015-02-09 | Lost |
| 847 | 869 | 47% | 2014-09-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 1158 | 28% | 2014-08-29 | Won |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2012-11-13 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1017 | 67% | 2012-05-19 | Won |
| 973 | 984 | 48% | 2010-12-15 | Won |
| 1132 | 748 | 90% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 992 | 1012 | 47% | 2010-04-26 | Won |
| 1190 | 951 | 80% | 2009-08-10 | Won |
| 1125 | 697 | 92% | 2009-04-18 | Won |
| 866 | 1010 | 30% | 2009-03-01 | Won |
| 866 | 1010 | 30% | 2009-03-01 | Won |
| 1027 | 1087 | 41% | 2008-10-11 | Won |
| 1137 | 919 | 78% | 2008-09-17 | Won |
| 1073 | 892 | 74% | 2007-11-30 | Won |
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2007-04-14 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1310 | 28% | 2007-02-04 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1046 | 52% | 2005-11-05 | Won |
| 613 | 1098 | 6% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 934 | 986 | 43% | 2001-05-13 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1998-03-21 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1006 | 55% | 1996-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 1009.1 vs 995.5 has a 51.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).