Ranger Stronghold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 259 (45 on the archive and 214 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 174
Defender wins (American): 85
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 991 | 48% | 2025-06-02 | Lost |
| 887 | 878 | 51% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 993 | 916 | 61% | 2020-10-13 | Won |
| 1066 | 1008 | 58% | 2020-05-06 | Won |
| 780 | 1029 | 19% | 2020-04-01 | Lost |
| 1139 | 916 | 78% | 2020-02-11 | Won |
| 1135 | 1179 | 44% | 2019-04-25 | Won |
| 985 | 1022 | 45% | 2019-04-09 | Won |
| 1056 | 1035 | 53% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 966 | 1007 | 44% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 1081 | 1058 | 53% | 2017-04-22 | Won |
| 1075 | 1058 | 52% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 1079 | 922 | 71% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 975 | 878 | 64% | 2017-03-02 | Won |
| 985 | 1019 | 45% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 1068 | 1064 | 51% | 2017-01-19 | Won |
| 985 | 998 | 48% | 2017-01-12 | Won |
| 1064 | 1068 | 49% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
| 1102 | 959 | 69% | 2016-07-05 | Won |
| 1043 | 1000 | 56% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1173 | 1174 | 50% | 2016-01-10 | Won |
| 847 | 1189 | 12% | 2015-02-09 | Lost |
| 847 | 870 | 47% | 2014-09-22 | Lost |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2014-08-29 | Won |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2012-11-13 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1018 | 74% | 2012-05-19 | Won |
| 975 | 984 | 49% | 2010-12-15 | Won |
| 1144 | 991 | 71% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 1011 | 1012 | 50% | 2010-04-26 | Won |
| 1192 | 951 | 80% | 2009-08-10 | Won |
| 1097 | 694 | 91% | 2009-04-18 | Won |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2009-03-01 | Won |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2009-03-01 | Won |
| 1027 | 1103 | 39% | 2008-10-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 919 | 78% | 2008-09-17 | Won |
| 1094 | 893 | 76% | 2007-11-30 | Won |
| 1068 | 1092 | 47% | 2007-11-01 | Won |
| 1068 | 1092 | 47% | 2007-10-16 | Won |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2007-04-14 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1252 | 36% | 2007-02-04 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1046 | 52% | 2005-11-05 | Won |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 934 | 982 | 43% | 2001-05-13 | Won |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1998-03-21 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1007 | 55% | 1996-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (35 wins) average ELOs: 1024.1 vs 1012.6 has a 51.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).