The Road To St. Lô
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1187 | 1216 | 46% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
| 1151 | 951 | 76% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1167 | 33% | 2020-07-16 | Won |
| 1098 | 979 | 66% | 2019-02-23 | Won |
| 962 | 1068 | 35% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1010 | 982 | 54% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
| 1055 | 805 | 81% | 2012-02-19 | Won |
| 1152 | 1183 | 46% | 2004-01-24 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2003-09-02 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1084.3 vs 1049.6 has a 54.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).