The Road To St. Lô
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 926 | 1012 | 38% | 2026-04-12 | Won |
| 1162 | 1227 | 41% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
| 1152 | 986 | 72% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1123 | 39% | 2020-07-16 | Won |
| 1095 | 1056 | 56% | 2019-02-23 | Won |
| 928 | 1060 | 32% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1010 | 982 | 54% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
| 1134 | 938 | 76% | 2012-02-19 | Won |
| 1140 | 1185 | 44% | 2004-01-24 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2003-09-02 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1069.5 vs 1066.4 has a 50.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).