The Road To St. Lô
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (5 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1157 | 916 | 80% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
1040 | 1204 | 28% | 2020-07-16 | Won |
1010 | 980 | 54% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
989 | 1204 | 22% | 2012-02-19 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2003-09-02 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1058.6 vs 1080.2 has a 46.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).