The Road To St. Lô
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 926 | 1012 | 38% | 2026-04-12 | Won |
| 1113 | 1226 | 34% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
| 1152 | 968 | 74% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1123 | 39% | 2020-07-16 | Won |
| 1151 | 1056 | 63% | 2019-02-23 | Won |
| 928 | 1060 | 32% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1010 | 982 | 54% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1097 | 55% | 2012-02-19 | Won |
| 1140 | 1186 | 43% | 2004-01-24 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2003-09-02 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1069.7 vs 1080.5 has a 48.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).