Monty's Mess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (23 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 50
Defender wins (British): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 980 | 1009 | 46% | 2025-04-11 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1192 | 33% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1191 | 34% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1079 | 1184 | 35% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1096 | 1065 | 54% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1007 | 63% | 2019-08-16 | Won |
| 1274 | 917 | 89% | 2018-09-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 949 | 62% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
| 967 | 1084 | 34% | 2017-05-10 | Won |
| 1098 | 1032 | 59% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1024 | 60% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
| 1036 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1065 | 1022 | 56% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-03-17 | Lost |
| 963 | 981 | 47% | 2011-08-17 | Tied |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 2007-02-21 | Won |
| 1055 | 1219 | 28% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
| 1159 | 982 | 73% | 2003-07-29 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2003-06-16 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2003-06-16 | Won |
| 967 | 1084 | 34% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1079.7 vs 1054.7 has a 53.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).