Monty's Mess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (23 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 49
Defender wins (British): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1009 | 51% | 2025-04-11 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1176 | 39% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1162 | 38% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1074 | 1162 | 38% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1097 | 1036 | 59% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1203 | 49% | 2019-08-16 | Won |
| 1329 | 917 | 91% | 2018-09-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 949 | 62% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
| 909 | 1090 | 26% | 2017-05-10 | Won |
| 1060 | 1031 | 54% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1024 | 55% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
| 1034 | 1104 | 40% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1036 | 1022 | 52% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2013-03-17 | Lost |
| 963 | 947 | 52% | 2011-08-17 | Tied |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2007-02-21 | Won |
| 1039 | 1218 | 26% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
| 1115 | 982 | 68% | 2003-07-29 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2003-06-16 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2003-06-16 | Won |
| 909 | 1090 | 26% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1069 vs 1054.9 has a 52.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).