Monty's Mess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (23 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 50
Defender wins (British): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1009 | 46% | 2025-04-11 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1202 | 28% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1187 | 35% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1080 | 1151 | 40% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1092 | 1033 | 58% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1007 | 60% | 2019-08-16 | Won |
| 1223 | 862 | 89% | 2018-09-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 948 | 62% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
| 946 | 1036 | 37% | 2017-05-10 | Won |
| 1128 | 1032 | 63% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1025 | 64% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
| 1035 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1033 | 1026 | 51% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-03-17 | Lost |
| 963 | 981 | 47% | 2011-08-17 | Tied |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2007-02-21 | Won |
| 1056 | 1220 | 28% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
| 1159 | 982 | 73% | 2003-07-29 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2003-06-16 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2003-06-16 | Won |
| 946 | 1036 | 37% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1074.8 vs 1046.6 has a 54.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).