Surrender Or Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (23 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 74
Defender wins (American): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 960 | 1026 | 41% | 2024-07-03 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 993 | 52% | 2020-03-30 | Won |
| 904 | 948 | 44% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1013 | 63% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
| 1131 | 974 | 71% | 2014-11-30 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2014-07-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 1149 | 28% | 2014-03-15 | Lost |
| 909 | 1144 | 21% | 2014-01-18 | Won |
| 974 | 984 | 49% | 2013-12-23 | Won |
| 969 | 1024 | 42% | 2012-01-28 | Won |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 971 | 1005 | 45% | 2009-01-16 | Won |
| 1005 | 956 | 57% | 2008-11-08 | Lost |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2008-08-09 | Won |
| 950 | 1060 | 35% | 2007-12-14 | Lost |
| 1060 | 950 | 65% | 2007-12-04 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1204 | 28% | 2007-01-27 | Tied |
| 1059 | 1046 | 52% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 934 | 1009 | 39% | 2005-12-23 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1108 | 67% | 2005-04-03 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2005-02-26 | Won |
| 1013 | 998 | 52% | 2005-02-24 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1017.3 vs 1034.8 has a 47.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).