First Crisis at Army Group North
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (6 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-23 | Lost |
| 1263 | 987 | 83% | 2005-05-21 | Won |
| 1076 | 1047 | 54% | 2002-10-30 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1048 | 59% | 1999-03-10 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Won |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1116 vs 1054.3 has a 58.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).