First Crisis at Army Group North
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-23 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1065 | 69% | 2002-10-30 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1064 | 57% | 1999-03-10 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Won |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1148.2 vs 1085.4 has a 58.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).