The Road to Wiltz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 974 | 51% | 2022-05-05 | Lost |
| 998 | 1064 | 41% | 2021-02-24 | Won |
| 998 | 1064 | 41% | 2021-02-23 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-10-25 | Lost |
| 1343 | 889 | 93% | 2011-06-23 | Won |
| 1088 | 827 | 82% | 2006-05-14 | Won |
| 834 | 1162 | 13% | 2003-09-21 | Lost |
| 970 | 1060 | 37% | 2003-04-04 | Won |
| 1043 | 1056 | 48% | 2002-03-10 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1038.2 vs 1020.4 has a 52.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).