The Road to Wiltz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1028 | 39% | 2022-05-05 | Lost |
| 940 | 1123 | 26% | 2021-02-24 | Won |
| 940 | 1123 | 26% | 2021-02-23 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-10-25 | Lost |
| 1091 | 827 | 82% | 2006-05-14 | Won |
| 831 | 1196 | 11% | 2003-09-21 | Lost |
| 969 | 1068 | 36% | 2003-04-04 | Won |
| 1040 | 1054 | 48% | 2002-03-10 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 981.5 vs 1063.4 has a 38.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).