Recon in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 136 (24 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 70
Defender wins (Italian / German): 66
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1019 | 49% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1074 | 908 | 72% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1009 | 898 | 65% | 2020-09-28 | Won |
| 1220 | 1269 | 43% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 977 | 937 | 56% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1061 | 956 | 65% | 2018-02-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1016 | 50% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1165 | 1219 | 42% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1167 | 1219 | 43% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2017-01-17 | Won |
| 948 | 1152 | 24% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1050 | 979 | 60% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 931 | 1094 | 28% | 2014-10-14 | Lost |
| 979 | 1050 | 40% | 2014-09-30 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1102 | 59% | 2014-09-15 | Won |
| 951 | 1067 | 34% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1090 | 42% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1070 | 47% | 2001-06-04 | Won |
| 1034 | 1115 | 39% | 1998-12-21 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 1998-04-17 | Won |
| 985 | 985 | 50% | 1994-05-30 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1034.8 vs 1061.8 has a 46.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).