Recon in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 136 (24 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 70
Defender wins (Italian / German): 66
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 1020 | 49% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1075 | 913 | 72% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1009 | 915 | 63% | 2020-09-28 | Won |
| 1254 | 1216 | 55% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 954 | 937 | 52% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1047 | 956 | 63% | 2018-02-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1016 | 50% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1191 | 1217 | 46% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1189 | 1217 | 46% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2017-01-17 | Won |
| 948 | 1151 | 24% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1068 | 962 | 65% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 930 | 1094 | 28% | 2014-10-14 | Lost |
| 962 | 1068 | 35% | 2014-09-30 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1101 | 51% | 2014-09-15 | Won |
| 951 | 1067 | 34% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1213 | 24% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1070 | 50% | 2001-06-04 | Won |
| 1034 | 1174 | 31% | 1998-12-21 | Lost |
| 713 | 1151 | 7% | 1998-04-17 | Won |
| 984 | 1028 | 44% | 1994-05-30 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1090 | 54% | | Lost |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1035.9 vs 1070.5 has a 45.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).