Recon in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 137 (25 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 71
Defender wins (Italian / German): 66
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 1019 | 56% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1080 | 913 | 72% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1010 | 998 | 52% | 2020-09-28 | Won |
| 1221 | 1203 | 53% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 947 | 937 | 51% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 993 | 958 | 55% | 2018-02-23 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1016 | 48% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1187 | 1218 | 46% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1200 | 1218 | 47% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2017-01-17 | Won |
| 942 | 1140 | 24% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1059 | 928 | 68% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 930 | 1073 | 31% | 2014-10-14 | Lost |
| 928 | 1059 | 32% | 2014-09-30 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1101 | 51% | 2014-09-15 | Won |
| 951 | 1071 | 33% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1292 | 46% | 2001-10-28 | Won |
| 1019 | 1214 | 25% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1070 | 48% | 2001-06-04 | Won |
| 1034 | 1159 | 33% | 1998-12-21 | Lost |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 1998-04-17 | Won |
| 983 | 1040 | 42% | 1994-05-30 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1035 vs 1076.4 has a 44.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).