Recon in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 137 (25 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 71
Defender wins (Italian / German): 66
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 1019 | 50% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1079 | 913 | 72% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1010 | 975 | 55% | 2020-09-28 | Won |
| 1207 | 1170 | 55% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 962 | 937 | 54% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1053 | 958 | 63% | 2018-02-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1016 | 50% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1191 | 1217 | 46% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1177 | 1217 | 44% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2017-01-17 | Won |
| 942 | 1140 | 24% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1068 | 962 | 65% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 930 | 1073 | 31% | 2014-10-14 | Lost |
| 962 | 1068 | 35% | 2014-09-30 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1100 | 48% | 2014-09-15 | Won |
| 951 | 1071 | 33% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
| 1249 | 1292 | 44% | 2001-10-28 | Won |
| 1054 | 1215 | 28% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1070 | 50% | 2001-06-04 | Won |
| 1034 | 1180 | 30% | 1998-12-21 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 1998-04-17 | Won |
| 984 | 976 | 51% | 1994-05-30 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1041.1 vs 1077.6 has a 44.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).