Bone of Contention
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Partisan (BCRA)): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 973 | 62% | 2022-12-02 | Lost |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 869 | 1017 | 30% | 2018-07-25 | Lost |
| 1045 | 946 | 64% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1094 | 1145 | 43% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 967 | 873 | 63% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 1105 | 961 | 70% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2015-06-11 | Tied |
| 1113 | 966 | 70% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 1282 | 1026 | 81% | 2013-03-23 | Won |
| 1066 | 889 | 73% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 978 | 1133 | 29% | 2007-04-08 | Lost |
| 847 | 1223 | 10% | 2002-09-18 | Won |
| 864 | 1029 | 28% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1137 | 951 | 74% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1137 | 1013 | 67% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1042.8 vs 1021.7 has a 53.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).