Bone of Contention
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Partisan (BCRA)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 1091 | 32% | 2022-12-02 | Lost |
| 1002 | 960 | 56% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 1002 | 960 | 56% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 960 | 1002 | 44% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 960 | 1002 | 44% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 996 | 1018 | 47% | 2018-07-25 | Lost |
| 1083 | 947 | 69% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1108 | 1144 | 45% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 922 | 873 | 57% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 1054 | 989 | 59% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 1093 | 961 | 68% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1132 | 41% | 2015-06-11 | Tied |
| 1107 | 878 | 79% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 1186 | 1027 | 71% | 2013-03-23 | Won |
| 1071 | 891 | 74% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 986 | 1173 | 25% | 2007-04-08 | Lost |
| 831 | 1198 | 11% | 2002-09-18 | Won |
| 864 | 1032 | 28% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1170 | 1012 | 71% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1170 | 951 | 78% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1028.7 vs 1012.6 has a 52.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).