Bone of Contention
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Partisan (BCRA)): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 1055 | 32% | 2022-12-02 | Lost |
| 943 | 1042 | 36% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 943 | 1042 | 36% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 1042 | 943 | 64% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 1042 | 943 | 64% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 855 | 1017 | 28% | 2018-07-25 | Lost |
| 1046 | 945 | 64% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1094 | 1145 | 43% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 892 | 873 | 53% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 1006 | 1028 | 47% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 1051 | 1033 | 53% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1133 | 47% | 2015-06-11 | Tied |
| 1114 | 955 | 71% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 1260 | 1026 | 79% | 2013-03-23 | Won |
| 1067 | 889 | 74% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 979 | 1129 | 30% | 2007-04-08 | Lost |
| 844 | 1108 | 18% | 2002-09-18 | Won |
| 864 | 1047 | 26% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1127 | 951 | 73% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1127 | 1013 | 66% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1171 | 1171 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1171 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1031 vs 1030 has a 50.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).