Bone of Contention
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Partisan (BCRA)): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 907 | 1172 | 18% | 2022-12-02 | Lost |
| 1003 | 979 | 53% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 1003 | 979 | 53% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 979 | 1003 | 47% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 979 | 1003 | 47% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 985 | 1018 | 45% | 2018-07-25 | Lost |
| 1019 | 948 | 60% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1108 | 1144 | 45% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 967 | 874 | 63% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1133 | 39% | 2015-06-11 | Tied |
| 1107 | 884 | 78% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 1220 | 1028 | 75% | 2013-03-23 | Won |
| 1071 | 890 | 74% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 986 | 1159 | 27% | 2007-04-08 | Lost |
| 833 | 1151 | 14% | 2002-09-18 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2001-09-13 | Lost |
| 865 | 1033 | 28% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1188 | 1012 | 73% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1188 | 951 | 80% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1030.8 vs 1016.8 has a 52.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).