Bone of Contention
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Partisan (BCRA)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1055 | 43% | 2022-12-02 | Lost |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 1040 | 941 | 64% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 1040 | 941 | 64% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 915 | 1017 | 36% | 2018-07-25 | Lost |
| 1011 | 947 | 59% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1109 | 1145 | 45% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 1009 | 873 | 69% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 1093 | 961 | 68% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1133 | 41% | 2015-06-11 | Tied |
| 1106 | 953 | 71% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 1202 | 1026 | 73% | 2013-03-23 | Won |
| 1067 | 890 | 73% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 987 | 1174 | 25% | 2007-04-08 | Lost |
| 831 | 1185 | 12% | 2002-09-18 | Won |
| 864 | 1010 | 30% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1162 | 1013 | 70% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1162 | 951 | 77% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1035 vs 1024.8 has a 51.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).