Bone of Contention
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Partisan (BCRA)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2022-12-02 | Lost |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 869 | 1017 | 30% | 2018-07-25 | Lost |
| 973 | 946 | 54% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1094 | 1145 | 43% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 1017 | 873 | 70% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 1093 | 961 | 68% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2015-06-11 | Tied |
| 1113 | 1007 | 65% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 1264 | 1026 | 80% | 2013-03-23 | Won |
| 1066 | 889 | 73% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 978 | 1122 | 30% | 2007-04-08 | Lost |
| 847 | 1241 | 9% | 2002-09-18 | Won |
| 864 | 1041 | 27% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1137 | 1013 | 67% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1137 | 951 | 74% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1040.5 vs 1026.5 has a 52.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).