Hakkaa Paalle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Finnish): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 995 | 56% | 2026-02-14 | Won |
| 1002 | 961 | 56% | 2026-01-19 | Won |
| 1066 | 1056 | 51% | 2025-12-24 | Won |
| 1031 | 1030 | 50% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 909 | 1015 | 35% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 948 | 938 | 51% | 2020-02-14 | Won |
| 1056 | 938 | 66% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 893 | 1102 | 23% | 2018-07-19 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2017-03-02 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2014-10-17 | Won |
| 1019 | 1058 | 44% | 2004-04-24 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1049 | 68% | 1999-01-25 | Won |
| 983 | 1101 | 34% | 1994-04-23 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1010.4 vs 1017.1 has a 49.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).