Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (American): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 1072 | 60% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 837 | 837 | 50% | 2024-09-23 | Won |
| 1051 | 1051 | 50% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1074 | 45% | 2024-07-19 | Lost |
| 978 | 981 | 50% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1055 | 865 | 75% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
| 1128 | 1056 | 60% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1311 | 1094 | 78% | 2018-11-28 | Lost |
| 922 | 1074 | 29% | 2018-06-17 | Lost |
| 1158 | 941 | 78% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1011 | 1030 | 47% | 2016-06-01 | Won |
| 1205 | 932 | 83% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1077 | 958 | 66% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1077 | 958 | 66% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 847 | 825 | 53% | 2015-08-17 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1080 | 69% | 2015-02-05 | Won |
| 1139 | 1100 | 56% | 2014-12-16 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1223 | 26% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1100 | 1133 | 45% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-11 | Lost |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2010-11-11 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1033 | 45% | 2009-08-21 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1101 | 44% | 2009-05-24 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-03-05 | Lost |
| 1100 | 982 | 66% | 2004-01-03 | Won |
| 1098 | 1125 | 46% | 1995-10-15 | Lost |
| 872 | 1058 | 26% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1138 | 29% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1058.1 vs 1038.7 has a 52.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).