Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (37 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (American): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1014 | 47% | 2026-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1116 | 1163 | 43% | 2025-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2025-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 919 | 61% | 2024-10-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 847 | 71% | 2024-09-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1026 | 46% | 2024-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1005 | 1000 | 51% | 2023-10-01 | | Lost |
| 995 | 949 | 57% | 2023-06-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2023-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1271 | 1163 | 65% | 2018-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2018-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2017-04-16 | | Won |
| 971 | 1052 | 39% | 2016-06-01 | | Won |
| 1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2016-03-15 | | Won |
| 1084 | 977 | 65% | 2016-03-12 | | Won |
| 1084 | 977 | 65% | 2016-03-12 | | Won |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2015-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1230 | 21% | 2015-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1230 | 1000 | 79% | 2015-02-05 | | Won |
| 1089 | 1116 | 46% | 2014-12-16 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1230 | 29% | 2014-10-08 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1097 | 62% | 2013-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2012-08-11 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2010-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1158 | 1000 | 71% | 2009-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2009-08-21 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1147 | 40% | 2009-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2008-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1158 | 1000 | 71% | 2005-10-08 | | Won |
| 1158 | 1282 | 33% | 2004-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 981 | 76% | 2004-01-03 | | Won |
| 1042 | 1000 | 56% | 1999-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 1996-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1179 | 39% | 1995-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
| 951 | 1202 | 19% | | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1050 vs 1056.9 has a 49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).