Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 837 | 837 | 50% | 2024-09-23 | Won |
| 1042 | 1038 | 51% | 2024-07-19 | Lost |
| 969 | 981 | 48% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1087 | 875 | 77% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
| 1128 | 1075 | 58% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1082 | 79% | 2018-11-28 | Lost |
| 971 | 1074 | 36% | 2018-06-17 | Lost |
| 1158 | 933 | 79% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1017 | 1016 | 50% | 2016-06-01 | Won |
| 1205 | 990 | 78% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1049 | 1018 | 54% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1049 | 1018 | 54% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 847 | 825 | 53% | 2015-08-17 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1080 | 69% | 2015-02-05 | Won |
| 1120 | 1100 | 53% | 2014-12-16 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1223 | 26% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1100 | 1099 | 50% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-11 | Lost |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2010-11-11 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1033 | 45% | 2009-08-21 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1078 | 50% | 2009-05-24 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-03-05 | Lost |
| 1100 | 982 | 66% | 2004-01-03 | Won |
| 1098 | 1125 | 46% | 1995-10-15 | Lost |
| 872 | 1088 | 22% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1144 | 31% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1056.9 vs 1041.3 has a 52.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).