Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (37 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (American): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1001 | 993 | 51% | 2026-01-25 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1179 | 46% | 2025-03-26 | Lost |
| 1145 | 998 | 70% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 1220 | 980 | 80% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 890 | 890 | 50% | 2024-09-23 | Won |
| 1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 1040 | 988 | 57% | 2024-07-19 | Lost |
| 909 | 976 | 40% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1077 | 909 | 72% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
| 951 | 1107 | 29% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1231 | 1179 | 57% | 2018-11-28 | Lost |
| 972 | 1080 | 35% | 2018-06-17 | Lost |
| 1158 | 937 | 78% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2016-06-01 | Won |
| 1143 | 945 | 76% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1030 | 984 | 57% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1030 | 984 | 57% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 850 | 830 | 53% | 2015-08-17 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1075 | 70% | 2015-02-05 | Won |
| 1117 | 1116 | 50% | 2014-12-16 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1226 | 32% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1120 | 1155 | 45% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-11 | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2010-11-11 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1106 | 55% | 2009-10-08 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1031 | 46% | 2009-08-21 | Lost |
| 1107 | 952 | 71% | 2009-05-24 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2008-03-05 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2005-10-08 | Won |
| 1140 | 1347 | 23% | 2004-10-08 | Lost |
| 1120 | 981 | 69% | 2004-01-03 | Won |
| 1021 | 1113 | 37% | 1999-10-18 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1140 | 41% | 1996-12-04 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1182 | 39% | 1995-10-15 | Lost |
| 873 | 1097 | 22% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1017 | 1091 | 40% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1068.2 vs 1055.2 has a 51.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).