The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American ): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American ): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 918 | 837 | 61% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 1074 | 889 | 74% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1055 | 1159 | 35% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1071 | 1205 | 32% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1216 | 973 | 80% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1114 | 853 | 82% | 2016-08-29 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1009 | 52% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1114 | 36% | 2014-10-18 | Won |
| 1002 | 941 | 59% | 2013-06-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1098 | 39% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
| 1205 | 1071 | 68% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1099 | 40% | 2008-12-08 | Lost |
| 962 | 1030 | 40% | 2008-02-12 | Won |
| 1400 | 1010 | 90% | 2006-09-08 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1023 | 84% | 2006-08-31 | Tied |
| 1033 | 1098 | 41% | 2005-04-30 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2005-04-17 | Won |
| 1310 | 976 | 87% | 2005-04-10 | Lost |
| 911 | 966 | 42% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
| 932 | 1083 | 30% | 1999-06-05 | Won |
| 1138 | 1093 | 56% | 1996-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1086.4 vs 1030.1 has a 58.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).