The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (American ): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American ): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 906 | 890 | 52% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 1080 | 913 | 72% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1058 | 1066 | 49% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 945 | 1143 | 24% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1217 | 961 | 81% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1065 | 982 | 62% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1083 | 1005 | 61% | 2016-08-29 | Lost |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1083 | 43% | 2014-10-18 | Won |
| 1022 | 866 | 71% | 2013-06-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1101 | 38% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
| 1143 | 945 | 76% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | 2008-12-08 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1035 | 64% | 2008-02-12 | Won |
| 1434 | 882 | 96% | 2006-09-08 | Lost |
| 1231 | 1056 | 73% | 2006-08-31 | Tied |
| 1113 | 1011 | 64% | 2006-06-22 | Won |
| 1054 | 1101 | 43% | 2005-04-30 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-04-17 | Won |
| 1231 | 1150 | 61% | 2005-04-10 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1023 | 86% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
| 908 | 984 | 39% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
| 1060 | 989 | 60% | 2001-01-28 | Won |
| 932 | 989 | 42% | 1999-06-05 | Won |
| 1003 | 1140 | 31% | 1998-11-22 | Won |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 1998-01-05 | Won |
| 1127 | 1103 | 53% | 1996-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1090.6 vs 1030.8 has a 58.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).