The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (American ): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American ): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 907 | 896 | 52% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 1079 | 913 | 72% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1058 | 1031 | 54% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1217 | 966 | 81% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1027 | 981 | 57% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2016-08-29 | Lost |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1058 | 47% | 2014-10-18 | Won |
| 1022 | 859 | 72% | 2013-06-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1101 | 38% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
| 1130 | 980 | 70% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1117 | 37% | 2008-12-08 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1036 | 64% | 2008-02-12 | Won |
| 1423 | 885 | 96% | 2006-09-08 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1056 | 76% | 2006-08-31 | Tied |
| 1204 | 985 | 78% | 2006-06-22 | Won |
| 1033 | 1101 | 40% | 2005-04-30 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-04-17 | Won |
| 1253 | 1021 | 79% | 2005-04-10 | Lost |
| 909 | 950 | 44% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
| 1068 | 989 | 61% | 2001-01-28 | Won |
| 932 | 1041 | 35% | 1999-06-05 | Won |
| 1004 | 1140 | 31% | 1998-11-22 | Won |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 1998-01-05 | Won |
| 1173 | 1103 | 60% | 1996-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1084.1 vs 1025.9 has a 58.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).