The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American ): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American ): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 918 | 845 | 60% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 1073 | 889 | 74% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1055 | 1164 | 35% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 865 | 1195 | 13% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 997 | 78% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1024 | 982 | 56% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1195 | 877 | 86% | 2016-08-29 | Lost |
| 1083 | 962 | 67% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1195 | 26% | 2014-10-18 | Won |
| 1002 | 924 | 61% | 2013-06-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1098 | 39% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
| 1195 | 865 | 87% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1099 | 40% | 2008-12-08 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1029 | 63% | 2008-02-12 | Won |
| 1405 | 882 | 95% | 2006-09-08 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1051 | 81% | 2006-08-31 | Tied |
| 1033 | 1098 | 41% | 2005-04-30 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2005-04-17 | Won |
| 1302 | 977 | 87% | 2005-04-10 | Lost |
| 911 | 945 | 45% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
| 932 | 1042 | 35% | 1999-06-05 | Won |
| 1024 | 1013 | 52% | 1998-01-05 | Won |
| 1161 | 1092 | 60% | 1996-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1086.1 vs 1016.9 has a 59.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).