The Front in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (22 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-08-27 | Lost |
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-08-18 | Lost |
1020 | 1004 | 52% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
1100 | 1055 | 56% | 2018-10-26 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Lost |
957 | 952 | 51% | 2013-05-15 | Lost |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2011-06-12 | Lost |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2010-06-24 | Lost |
987 | 1000 | 48% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
1012 | 963 | 57% | 2009-12-14 | Lost |
1012 | 963 | 57% | 2009-12-14 | Won |
1003 | 871 | 68% | 2009-03-01 | Lost |
1037 | 983 | 58% | 2005-07-30 | Lost |
983 | 1037 | 42% | 2005-07-30 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2005-07-18 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
1095 | 1086 | 51% | 2004-08-31 | Won |
980 | 1096 | 34% | 2004-04-10 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1041 vs 1019.2 has a 53.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).