The Front in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (24 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 912 | 79% | 2025-06-21 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2023-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2023-08-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2023-08-18 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 988 | 60% | 2021-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-12-28 | | Won |
| 1116 | 1080 | 55% | 2018-10-26 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | | Lost |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2013-05-15 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2011-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2010-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2010-05-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2009-12-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2009-12-14 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2009-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2006-02-24 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2005-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2005-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2005-07-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2005-06-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2005-06-30 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2004-08-31 | | Won |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2004-04-10 | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1034.7 vs 1007.9 has a 53.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).