The Front in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (24 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-08-27 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-08-18 | Lost |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 1040 | 995 | 56% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1104 | 1074 | 54% | 2018-10-26 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2013-05-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2011-06-12 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2010-06-24 | Lost |
| 968 | 1018 | 43% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
| 1009 | 963 | 57% | 2009-12-14 | Won |
| 1009 | 963 | 57% | 2009-12-14 | Lost |
| 987 | 871 | 66% | 2009-03-01 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1122 | 40% | 2006-02-24 | Won |
| 1041 | 983 | 58% | 2005-07-30 | Lost |
| 983 | 1041 | 42% | 2005-07-30 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2005-07-18 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
| 1117 | 1085 | 55% | 2004-08-31 | Won |
| 980 | 1095 | 34% | 2004-04-10 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1052.3 vs 1026 has a 53.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).