The Front in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (24 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 917 | 82% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2023-08-27 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2023-08-18 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1040 | 46% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 1012 | 991 | 53% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1116 | 1079 | 55% | 2018-10-26 | Won |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2015-12-20 | Lost |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2015-12-20 | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2013-05-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2011-06-12 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2010-06-24 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1083 | 43% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
| 995 | 963 | 55% | 2009-12-14 | Won |
| 995 | 963 | 55% | 2009-12-14 | Lost |
| 1007 | 870 | 69% | 2009-03-01 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1123 | 42% | 2006-02-24 | Won |
| 1041 | 983 | 58% | 2005-07-30 | Lost |
| 983 | 1041 | 42% | 2005-07-30 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-07-18 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
| 1117 | 1085 | 55% | 2004-08-31 | Won |
| 961 | 1095 | 32% | 2004-04-10 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1053.2 vs 1030.2 has a 53.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).