The Front in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2023-08-27 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2023-08-18 | Lost |
| 952 | 1019 | 40% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 1124 | 989 | 69% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1100 | 1065 | 55% | 2018-10-26 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2013-05-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2011-06-12 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2010-06-24 | Lost |
| 920 | 1000 | 39% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
| 1010 | 963 | 57% | 2009-12-14 | Lost |
| 1010 | 963 | 57% | 2009-12-14 | Won |
| 1001 | 872 | 68% | 2009-03-01 | Lost |
| 1037 | 983 | 58% | 2005-07-30 | Lost |
| 983 | 1037 | 42% | 2005-07-30 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2005-07-18 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
| 1058 | 1086 | 46% | 2004-08-31 | Won |
| 981 | 1098 | 34% | 2004-04-10 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1037.4 vs 1020.3 has a 52.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).