Cut the Road to Marseille
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (4 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 19
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1047 | 1058 | 48% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
1002 | 1057 | 42% | 2022-06-13 | Lost |
1157 | 1152 | 51% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
1008 | 1012 | 49% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1053.5 vs 1069.8 has a 47.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).