Cut the Road to Marseille
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (8 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 22
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 989 | 60% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 1002 | 1063 | 41% | 2022-06-13 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1228 | 39% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 1015 | 49% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 1065 | 43% | 2019-01-26 | Won |
| 1063 | 961 | 64% | 2008-04-27 | Lost |
| 889 | 998 | 35% | 2004-06-30 | Won |
| 1193 | 830 | 89% | 2002-07-19 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1047.6 vs 1018.6 has a 54.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).