Cut the Road to Marseille
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (6 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 21
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 903 | 69% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1204 | 24% | 2022-06-13 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1127 | 56% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
| 937 | 801 | 69% | 2019-01-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 847 | 74% | 2002-07-19 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1030.5 vs 980.3 has a 57.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).