Under a Sky of Lead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Free French): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 1080 | 45% | 2023-03-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 947 | 58% | 2022-06-06 | | Won |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2004-03-16 | | Won |
| 832 | 1148 | 14% | 2002-08-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1111 | 35% | 1999-11-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 1999-10-30 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 1999-02-19 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 989.9 vs 1046.9 has a 41.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).