A Little Bit Closer to Heaven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (5 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French ): 24
Defender wins (German): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1047 | 1058 | 48% | 2023-07-24 | Won |
1020 | 1004 | 52% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2010-12-17 | Lost |
614 | 1097 | 6% | 2001-09-23 | Lost |
992 | 919 | 60% | 2001-06-27 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 954 vs 1035 has a 38.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).