Released from the East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 234 (82 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 112
Defender wins (German (SS)): 121
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|
968 | 949 | 53% | 2024-03-04 | Lost |
1005 | 1036 | 46% | 2023-12-10 | Lost |
1036 | 1045 | 49% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
1187 | 1213 | 46% | 2023-05-15 | Lost |
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
876 | 916 | 44% | 2023-03-13 | Won |
1065 | 1058 | 51% | 2023-02-23 | Won |
1015 | 1187 | 27% | 2022-12-08 | Won |
990 | 984 | 51% | 2022-09-23 | Won |
1056 | 1056 | 50% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
1058 | 918 | 69% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
916 | 876 | 56% | 2022-06-13 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
939 | 1078 | 31% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
962 | 962 | 50% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-07-08 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-07-08 | Won |
1078 | 1016 | 59% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-06-08 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-05-27 | Lost |
1030 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-02-14 | Won |
1047 | 993 | 58% | 2021-02-07 | Won |
1164 | 1004 | 72% | 2021-01-03 | Won |
1083 | 1085 | 50% | 2020-12-30 | Won |
1429 | 1314 | 66% | 2020-11-28 | Won |
945 | 964 | 47% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
1046 | 1078 | 45% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2020-08-18 | Won |
941 | 939 | 50% | 2020-07-04 | Lost |
939 | 1188 | 19% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
1168 | 1159 | 51% | 2020-03-31 | Won |
1058 | 1040 | 53% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
975 | 964 | 52% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
939 | 1058 | 34% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
901 | 892 | 51% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2019-09-01 | Won |
1198 | 943 | 81% | 2019-06-18 | Won |
906 | 926 | 47% | 2019-02-22 | Won |
1131 | 1082 | 57% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
885 | 898 | 48% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
908 | 998 | 37% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
1113 | 1058 | 58% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
1183 | 1128 | 58% | 2017-05-14 | Won |
1101 | 1086 | 52% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
1029 | 1017 | 52% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
1104 | 893 | 77% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
1058 | 881 | 73% | 2016-07-26 | Tied |
870 | 881 | 48% | 2016-06-05 | Lost |
960 | 1013 | 42% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
901 | 881 | 53% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
892 | 926 | 45% | 2015-12-18 | Lost |
1429 | 1163 | 82% | 2015-11-01 | Won |
1170 | 1216 | 43% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
1002 | 1058 | 42% | 2014-01-28 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-01-24 | Won |
1135 | 1138 | 50% | 2012-12-09 | Won |
1138 | 1135 | 50% | 2012-12-09 | Lost |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2012-11-24 | Lost |
1046 | 1058 | 48% | 2012-07-25 | Lost |
1036 | 1019 | 52% | 2012-05-04 | Lost |
1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2012-01-28 | Lost |
1022 | 992 | 54% | 2011-12-13 | Won |
952 | 970 | 47% | 2011-09-10 | Won |
1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-07-12 | Lost |
1040 | 1025 | 52% | 2010-09-17 | Won |
1216 | 1040 | 73% | 2010-07-05 | Won |
990 | 990 | 50% | 2010-04-28 | Won |
1227 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-10-12 | Won |
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2009-09-06 | Lost |
1002 | 1115 | 34% | 2009-08-09 | Lost |
1031 | 1062 | 46% | 2008-03-31 | Lost |
946 | 1019 | 40% | 2008-03-13 | Lost |
1013 | 1157 | 30% | 2008-02-02 | Won |
1088 | 1157 | 40% | 2008-01-31 | Won |
1041 | 1058 | 48% | 2008-01-18 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-02-19 | Won |
1115 | 984 | 68% | 2006-06-17 | Won |
1086 | 1095 | 49% | 2006-05-15 | Won |
1037 | 1082 | 44% | 2005-01-20 | Lost |
Attacking (47 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1039.7 has a 50.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).