Paper Army
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75
Attacker wins (Greek): 54
Defender wins (Italian): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Greek): 1
Defender wins (Italian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 996 | 996 | 50% | 2025-02-03 | Won |
| 987 | 1021 | 45% | 2024-11-05 | Won |
| 993 | 1032 | 44% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 1033 | 1032 | 50% | 2024-02-13 | Won |
| 1080 | 1080 | 50% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1036 | 1034 | 50% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1270 | 1218 | 57% | 2023-07-31 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1067 | 1032 | 55% | 2023-02-16 | Won |
| 1032 | 1067 | 45% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1014 | 53% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1014 | 53% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1018 | 868 | 70% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
| 1056 | 996 | 59% | 2022-07-01 | Won |
| 1032 | 943 | 63% | 2022-06-08 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1016 | 58% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2022-02-06 | Won |
| 1144 | 1115 | 54% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
| 1002 | 906 | 63% | 2021-02-07 | Won |
| 1038 | 1030 | 51% | 2021-02-06 | Tied |
| 1085 | 1029 | 58% | 2021-01-24 | Won |
| 964 | 1141 | 27% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 1015 | 997 | 53% | 2020-08-25 | Won |
| 898 | 1016 | 34% | 2020-07-05 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1034 | 69% | 2020-05-20 | Won |
| 1049 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 864 | 924 | 41% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1113 | 1032 | 61% | 2019-12-13 | Won |
| 1431 | 1217 | 77% | 2019-11-02 | Won |
| 976 | 1037 | 41% | 2019-07-06 | Won |
| 1068 | 911 | 71% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
| 1101 | 1142 | 44% | 2017-05-25 | Tied |
| 1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 926 | 892 | 55% | 2017-03-29 | Won |
| 1219 | 893 | 87% | 2017-01-21 | Won |
| 911 | 960 | 43% | 2016-09-10 | Won |
| 1032 | 877 | 71% | 2016-07-27 | Tied |
| 1111 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-08-16 | Won |
| 1217 | 1147 | 60% | 2015-08-14 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2015-07-21 | Won |
| 1164 | 1228 | 41% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1002 | 54% | 2014-04-04 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-02-14 | Won |
| 1209 | 1209 | 50% | 2013-01-06 | Lost |
| 970 | 1031 | 41% | 2012-10-20 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1004 | 54% | 2012-09-29 | Won |
| 960 | 957 | 50% | 2012-06-10 | Won |
| 960 | 951 | 51% | 2011-04-17 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1013 | 53% | 2011-04-17 | Lost |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1216 | 27% | 2010-07-05 | Won |
| 984 | 1054 | 40% | 2010-06-30 | Won |
| 1016 | 1031 | 48% | 2010-06-15 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1216 | 31% | 2010-01-24 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-10-22 | Lost |
| 1032 | 920 | 66% | 2009-07-25 | Won |
| 1032 | 920 | 66% | 2009-07-25 | Won |
| 1032 | 920 | 66% | 2009-07-25 | Won |
| 1032 | 920 | 66% | 2009-07-25 | Won |
| 1032 | 920 | 66% | 2009-05-13 | Won |
| 1032 | 920 | 66% | 2009-05-13 | Won |
| 946 | 951 | 49% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
| 984 | 969 | 52% | 2009-01-17 | Won |
| 942 | 919 | 53% | 2008-10-16 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Lost |
| 949 | 1002 | 42% | 2007-02-17 | Won |
| 1094 | 984 | 65% | 2006-07-16 | Won |
| 832 | 943 | 35% | 2006-01-24 | Won |
| 1086 | 1099 | 48% | 2005-11-27 | Won |
Attacking (55 wins) average ELOs: 1044.4 vs 1022.5 has a 53.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).