Paper Army
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77
Attacker wins (Greek): 56
Defender wins (Italian): 18
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Greek): 2
Defender wins (Italian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2026-06-29 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-04-17 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 955 | 56% | 2026-03-27 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-03-22 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-10-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2025-02-03 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2024-11-05 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-08-21 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-02-13 | Won | |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-01-18 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-11-04 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-07-31 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-04-24 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-02-16 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-02-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-01-23 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-01-23 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-11-30 | Won | |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2022-07-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 909 | 63% | 2022-06-08 | Won | |
| 1056 | 1032 | 53% | 2022-03-04 | Lost | |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2022-02-06 | Won | |
| 1144 | 1000 | 70% | 2021-08-24 | Won | |
| 990 | 1000 | 49% | 2021-02-07 | Won | |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-02-06 | Tied | |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2021-01-24 | Won | |
| 964 | 1131 | 28% | 2020-12-15 | Won | |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-08-25 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2020-07-05 | Lost | |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2020-05-20 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2020-01-11 | Lost | |
| 928 | 970 | 44% | 2019-12-14 | Won | |
| 1162 | 1000 | 72% | 2019-12-13 | Won | |
| 1411 | 1000 | 91% | 2019-11-02 | Won | |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2019-07-06 | Won | |
| 1078 | 955 | 67% | 2018-06-09 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1005 | 49% | 2017-10-14 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2017-05-25 | Tied | |
| 1178 | 1000 | 74% | 2017-05-20 | Won | |
| 926 | 881 | 56% | 2017-03-29 | Won | |
| 1166 | 894 | 83% | 2017-01-21 | Won | |
| 955 | 1000 | 44% | 2016-09-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 907 | 63% | 2016-07-27 | Tied | |
| 1000 | 1162 | 28% | 2015-08-16 | Won | |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2015-08-14 | Won | |
| 1162 | 1000 | 72% | 2015-07-21 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2014-10-07 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2014-04-04 | Won | |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2014-02-14 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1220 | 22% | 2013-01-06 | Lost | |
| 970 | 1031 | 41% | 2012-10-20 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2012-09-29 | Won | |
| 1000 | 917 | 62% | 2012-06-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2011-04-17 | Lost | |
| 960 | 951 | 51% | 2011-04-17 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2011-04-09 | Lost | |
| 1039 | 1215 | 27% | 2010-07-05 | Won | |
| 1000 | 907 | 63% | 2010-06-30 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2010-06-15 | Lost | |
| 1017 | 1215 | 24% | 2010-01-24 | Won | |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2009-10-22 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 926 | 60% | 2009-07-25 | Won | |
| 1000 | 926 | 60% | 2009-07-25 | Won | |
| 1000 | 926 | 60% | 2009-07-25 | Won | |
| 1000 | 926 | 60% | 2009-07-25 | Won | |
| 1000 | 926 | 60% | 2009-05-13 | Won | |
| 1000 | 926 | 60% | 2009-05-13 | Won | |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2009-04-25 | Won | |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2009-01-17 | Won | |
| 1000 | 970 | 54% | 2008-10-16 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-03-12 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-03-12 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-03-12 | Won | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-03-12 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-03-12 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2007-02-17 | Won | |
| 1111 | 1000 | 65% | 2006-07-16 | Won | |
| 832 | 1000 | 28% | 2006-01-24 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1094 | 37% | 2005-11-27 | Won |
Attacking (58 wins) average ELOs: 1021.6 vs 1005.2 has a 52.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).