88s at Zon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 225 (106 on the archive and 119 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 106
Defender wins (German): 119
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|
970 | 970 | 50% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
968 | 981 | 48% | 2024-02-22 | Lost |
1024 | 1024 | 50% | 2024-02-05 | Lost |
1090 | 1074 | 52% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
1187 | 1213 | 46% | 2023-09-04 | Lost |
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-05-02 | Won |
950 | 943 | 51% | 2022-11-10 | Won |
916 | 876 | 56% | 2022-10-02 | Won |
1083 | 1030 | 58% | 2022-09-21 | Won |
1429 | 956 | 94% | 2022-08-13 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2022-07-27 | Won |
930 | 916 | 52% | 2022-06-29 | Lost |
1030 | 1012 | 53% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
1083 | 1032 | 57% | 2022-04-19 | Lost |
916 | 1051 | 31% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
940 | 1049 | 35% | 2022-02-03 | Lost |
977 | 1016 | 44% | 2021-12-21 | Won |
1125 | 1143 | 47% | 2021-10-28 | Lost |
1122 | 1086 | 55% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
1040 | 1078 | 45% | 2021-07-11 | Lost |
1012 | 969 | 56% | 2021-07-10 | Lost |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2021-07-02 | Won |
1018 | 982 | 55% | 2021-04-17 | Lost |
980 | 1038 | 42% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
1141 | 964 | 73% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
981 | 964 | 52% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
950 | 1156 | 23% | 2020-09-24 | Lost |
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2020-09-20 | Won |
950 | 1194 | 20% | 2020-09-13 | Lost |
858 | 950 | 37% | 2020-09-10 | Lost |
950 | 1188 | 20% | 2020-09-01 | Lost |
1188 | 950 | 80% | 2020-08-21 | Won |
1013 | 1027 | 48% | 2020-08-16 | Won |
858 | 1173 | 14% | 2020-06-21 | Lost |
858 | 1173 | 14% | 2020-06-20 | Lost |
1173 | 1053 | 67% | 2020-06-11 | Won |
1053 | 1041 | 52% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
1053 | 1173 | 33% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
1173 | 992 | 74% | 2020-04-12 | Won |
1046 | 1041 | 51% | 2020-03-18 | Lost |
858 | 1033 | 27% | 2020-02-12 | Lost |
892 | 901 | 49% | 2019-12-21 | Lost |
1429 | 1427 | 50% | 2019-12-11 | Lost |
1058 | 1261 | 24% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
998 | 959 | 56% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
1013 | 1053 | 44% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
1159 | 986 | 73% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
938 | 1113 | 27% | 2019-07-13 | Lost |
1040 | 1051 | 48% | 2019-05-11 | Won |
1131 | 1082 | 57% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
962 | 881 | 61% | 2018-11-05 | Lost |
984 | 1013 | 46% | 2018-05-29 | Lost |
998 | 934 | 59% | 2018-02-24 | Won |
1104 | 1272 | 28% | 2017-12-01 | Won |
954 | 1029 | 39% | 2017-09-24 | Won |
1026 | 1086 | 41% | 2017-07-25 | Lost |
1183 | 1128 | 58% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2017-06-06 | Lost |
1013 | 960 | 58% | 2017-01-04 | Won |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-11-19 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-11-19 | Lost |
1051 | 881 | 73% | 2016-09-17 | Won |
870 | 881 | 48% | 2016-07-01 | Lost |
1098 | 931 | 72% | 2015-10-04 | Won |
1111 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-08-27 | Lost |
926 | 1063 | 31% | 2015-08-17 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2015-08-13 | Lost |
847 | 843 | 51% | 2015-07-19 | Lost |
1046 | 1027 | 53% | 2015-03-21 | Won |
1046 | 1012 | 55% | 2015-03-16 | Won |
982 | 901 | 61% | 2015-03-16 | Won |
1224 | 1227 | 50% | 2015-01-11 | Lost |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2014-08-30 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-03-13 | Lost |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2014-02-13 | Lost |
991 | 1207 | 22% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
1046 | 1051 | 49% | 2012-10-27 | Lost |
1062 | 984 | 61% | 2012-08-26 | Won |
869 | 950 | 39% | 2012-08-24 | Lost |
985 | 975 | 51% | 2011-09-13 | Lost |
1046 | 1051 | 49% | 2011-02-23 | Won |
990 | 990 | 50% | 2010-09-22 | Lost |
1012 | 1003 | 51% | 2009-12-07 | Lost |
1227 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-12-01 | Won |
952 | 946 | 51% | 2009-08-10 | Lost |
924 | 1047 | 33% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
1012 | 946 | 59% | 2009-05-27 | Lost |
952 | 945 | 51% | 2009-05-23 | Lost |
1045 | 942 | 64% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
1115 | 1138 | 47% | 2009-03-03 | Won |
1216 | 914 | 85% | 2009-01-18 | Lost |
1115 | 1017 | 64% | 2008-12-12 | Lost |
1115 | 976 | 69% | 2008-10-23 | Lost |
1115 | 953 | 72% | 2008-08-20 | Lost |
1156 | 1016 | 69% | 2008-02-09 | Won |
1108 | 1216 | 35% | 2007-11-17 | Won |
1080 | 1172 | 37% | 2007-06-05 | Lost |
1003 | 953 | 57% | 2007-02-18 | Won |
1002 | 984 | 53% | 2006-11-20 | Won |
1115 | 984 | 68% | 2006-06-24 | Won |
973 | 832 | 69% | 2006-05-06 | Won |
1010 | 943 | 60% | 2006-04-18 | Won |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-02-23 | Lost |
1095 | 1086 | 51% | 2006-01-22 | Won |
Attacking (47 wins) average ELOs: 1034.9 vs 1034.1 has a 50.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).