Hammer to the Teeth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85
Attacker wins (German): 43
Defender wins (American): 39
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1037 | 1090 | 42% | 2025-09-13 | Lost |
| 953 | 954 | 50% | 2025-09-07 | Lost |
| 954 | 953 | 50% | 2025-08-03 | Won |
| 992 | 1015 | 47% | 2024-11-26 | Lost |
| 1018 | 982 | 55% | 2024-11-02 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1013 | 54% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 990 | 982 | 51% | 2024-09-07 | Won |
| 1013 | 1011 | 50% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
| 873 | 910 | 45% | 2024-01-31 | Won |
| 964 | 1185 | 22% | 2023-12-19 | Lost |
| 982 | 1286 | 15% | 2023-09-19 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2023-05-06 | Lost |
| 1029 | 970 | 58% | 2022-12-05 | Won |
| 1037 | 963 | 60% | 2022-11-11 | Won |
| 1130 | 1130 | 50% | 2022-08-15 | Lost |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2022-04-18 | Lost |
| 1176 | 982 | 75% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 969 | 955 | 52% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 1049 | 940 | 65% | 2022-02-17 | Won |
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2022-02-14 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1049 | 90% | 2022-01-08 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
| 1144 | 1111 | 55% | 2021-07-30 | Won |
| 1063 | 1049 | 52% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1049 | 52% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 914 | 989 | 39% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 969 | 1037 | 40% | 2020-11-26 | Won |
| 1037 | 1012 | 54% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 945 | 1141 | 24% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 980 | 946 | 55% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 939 | 974 | 45% | 2020-10-03 | Won |
| 982 | 1086 | 35% | 2020-09-17 | Lost |
| 1037 | 875 | 72% | 2020-08-25 | Won |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2020-06-29 | Won |
| 875 | 1163 | 16% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2020-05-08 | Tied |
| 1065 | 1012 | 58% | 2020-04-27 | Won |
| 1163 | 1045 | 66% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1018 | 1012 | 51% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1052 | 1049 | 50% | 2020-02-07 | Won |
| 875 | 1086 | 23% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 960 | 864 | 63% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 974 | 1086 | 34% | 2019-02-23 | Won |
| 957 | 990 | 45% | 2018-08-24 | Won |
| 1049 | 1056 | 49% | 2018-04-27 | Won |
| 1049 | 1056 | 49% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 916 | 926 | 49% | 2017-07-15 | Won |
| 970 | 982 | 48% | 2017-07-10 | Lost |
| 960 | 1130 | 27% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 974 | 960 | 52% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 879 | 614 | 82% | 2016-05-09 | Won |
| 1153 | 1158 | 49% | 2016-01-25 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2015-08-17 | Won |
| 1063 | 926 | 69% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
| 1004 | 939 | 59% | 2015-03-30 | Won |
| 1093 | 972 | 67% | 2014-07-15 | Lost |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-03-14 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1220 | 49% | 2014-02-22 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1185 | 55% | 2014-01-19 | Won |
| 1137 | 1125 | 52% | 2012-12-11 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1137 | 48% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1018 | 982 | 55% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1216 | 39% | 2012-06-23 | Lost |
| 951 | 960 | 49% | 2011-09-17 | Lost |
| 1029 | 969 | 59% | 2011-09-10 | Won |
| 1018 | 982 | 55% | 2011-03-20 | Won |
| 933 | 943 | 49% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
| 1018 | 984 | 55% | 2010-10-13 | Won |
| 1053 | 1216 | 28% | 2010-06-28 | Won |
| 963 | 953 | 51% | 2010-06-08 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2009-12-08 | Lost |
| 951 | 946 | 51% | 2009-09-15 | Lost |
| 962 | 1045 | 38% | 2009-08-12 | Won |
| 1006 | 956 | 57% | 2009-06-25 | Won |
| 962 | 1039 | 39% | 2009-02-18 | Lost |
| 875 | 982 | 35% | 2009-02-18 | Lost |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2008-10-14 | Lost |
| 919 | 1019 | 36% | 2008-08-24 | Tied |
| 955 | 963 | 49% | 2008-06-18 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1053 | 44% | 2008-05-22 | Won |
| 984 | 1108 | 33% | 2006-12-09 | Lost |
| 860 | 832 | 54% | 2006-07-03 | Won |
| 982 | 1010 | 46% | 2006-04-25 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-02-02 | Won |
Attacking (43 wins) average ELOs: 1017.8 vs 1024.7 has a 49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).