Legio Patria Nostra
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 127 (52 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 85
Defender wins (German): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1204 | 921 | 84% | 2024-04-03 | Won |
1036 | 1005 | 54% | 2024-01-20 | Won |
1213 | 1204 | 51% | 2023-10-23 | Won |
972 | 972 | 50% | 2023-06-26 | Lost |
1070 | 1070 | 50% | 2023-05-08 | Won |
1056 | 1143 | 38% | 2023-01-21 | Lost |
917 | 1057 | 31% | 2022-09-27 | Won |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
1049 | 982 | 60% | 2022-02-28 | Won |
1012 | 973 | 56% | 2021-12-14 | Won |
1137 | 1126 | 52% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
982 | 1078 | 37% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
1164 | 971 | 75% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
978 | 1007 | 46% | 2020-12-24 | Won |
917 | 971 | 42% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
917 | 1006 | 37% | 2020-12-15 | Lost |
1143 | 1011 | 68% | 2020-12-08 | Lost |
858 | 982 | 33% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
1152 | 1019 | 68% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
1040 | 1013 | 54% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
917 | 1160 | 20% | 2020-09-18 | Lost |
917 | 1194 | 17% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
885 | 858 | 54% | 2020-09-11 | Lost |
1017 | 1018 | 50% | 2020-08-12 | Won |
992 | 1178 | 26% | 2020-04-19 | Lost |
920 | 892 | 54% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
1034 | 1159 | 33% | 2019-10-26 | Lost |
1183 | 1128 | 58% | 2017-07-23 | Won |
1113 | 1204 | 37% | 2017-06-25 | Won |
960 | 1013 | 42% | 2017-03-14 | Lost |
881 | 734 | 70% | 2017-03-12 | Won |
881 | 901 | 47% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
1063 | 926 | 69% | 2015-10-18 | Won |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2014-03-22 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-03-19 | Won |
1024 | 1204 | 26% | 2012-10-30 | Lost |
1031 | 987 | 56% | 2012-10-13 | Won |
974 | 1043 | 40% | 2011-07-01 | Lost |
984 | 984 | 50% | 2011-06-23 | Won |
1024 | 1204 | 26% | 2011-03-23 | Won |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 2010-10-20 | Won |
1012 | 1003 | 51% | 2010-06-28 | Won |
1227 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-12-15 | Won |
914 | 1216 | 15% | 2009-03-18 | Won |
1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2009-02-20 | Won |
1115 | 969 | 70% | 2008-01-25 | Lost |
1006 | 1012 | 49% | 2007-11-18 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Lost |
1086 | 1095 | 49% | 2006-12-04 | Won |
984 | 1115 | 32% | 2006-10-07 | Won |
860 | 832 | 54% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-02-12 | Won |
Attacking (37 wins) average ELOs: 1016.1 vs 1038.6 has a 46.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).