Legio Patria Nostra
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 144 (63 on the archive and 83 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 97
Defender wins (German): 47
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Free French): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2026-07-23 | A | Won |
| 1069 | 932 | 69% | 2026-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2026-03-20 | | Won |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-06-20 | | Won |
| 1015 | 992 | 53% | 2025-01-21 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1156 | 35% | 2024-11-10 | | Won |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-09-20 | | Won |
| 988 | 1219 | 21% | 2024-07-20 | | Lost |
| 988 | 1219 | 21% | 2024-07-20 | A | Lost |
| 1000 | 910 | 63% | 2024-04-03 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-01-20 | | Won |
| 1290 | 1000 | 84% | 2023-10-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 850 | 70% | 2023-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 850 | 70% | 2023-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2023-05-08 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1143 | 38% | 2023-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2022-09-27 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2022-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1049 | 982 | 60% | 2022-02-28 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-12-14 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2021-09-08 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1188 | 29% | 2021-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1092 | 971 | 67% | 2020-12-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2020-12-24 | | Won |
| 1004 | 971 | 55% | 2020-12-23 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1006 | 50% | 2020-12-15 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1006 | 69% | 2020-12-08 | | Lost |
| 890 | 1035 | 30% | 2020-12-04 | | Won |
| 1228 | 1018 | 77% | 2020-10-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2020-10-10 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1187 | 26% | 2020-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-09-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2020-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-08-12 | | Won |
| 992 | 1164 | 27% | 2020-04-19 | | Lost |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2019-12-28 | | Won |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2019-10-26 | | Lost |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-07-23 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2017-06-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2017-03-14 | | Lost |
| 886 | 1000 | 34% | 2017-03-12 | | Won |
| 886 | 1000 | 34% | 2016-06-29 | | Won |
| 1063 | 926 | 69% | 2015-10-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | 2014-09-28 | | Won |
| 1220 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-03-22 | | Won |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2014-03-19 | | Won |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2012-10-13 | | Won |
| 968 | 1028 | 41% | 2011-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2011-06-23 | | Won |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2011-03-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2010-10-20 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1020 | 51% | 2010-06-28 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2009-12-15 | | Won |
| 913 | 1215 | 15% | 2009-03-18 | | Won |
| 1096 | 1096 | 50% | 2009-02-20 | | Won |
| 906 | 1000 | 37% | 2008-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2007-11-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-03-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2006-12-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2006-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 832 | 72% | 2006-08-07 | | Won |
| 832 | 1000 | 28% | 2006-02-12 | | Won |
Attacking (44 wins) average ELOs: 1027.1 vs 1019.6 has a 51.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).