Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (17 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / American): 17
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 1051 | 58% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 973 | 900 | 60% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1039 | 58% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1329 | 24% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 908 | 1074 | 28% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1102 | 54% | 2021-03-17 | Won |
| 1099 | 1022 | 61% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
| 932 | 1066 | 32% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1062 | 55% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1244 | 1098 | 70% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1098 | 1143 | 44% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1329 | 21% | 2016-06-05 | Won |
| 1029 | 1005 | 53% | 2010-05-11 | Won |
| 1115 | 1154 | 44% | 1999-05-29 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1076 vs 1091.1 has a 47.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).