Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (16 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / American): 17
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 1020 | 58% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1310 | 28% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 889 | 1074 | 26% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1045 | 55% | 2021-03-17 | Won |
| 1110 | 1021 | 63% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 1064 | 1218 | 29% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 938 | 1045 | 35% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
| 966 | 995 | 46% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1062 | 52% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1245 | 1077 | 72% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1077 | 1200 | 33% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1310 | 20% | 2016-06-05 | Won |
| 1040 | 1006 | 55% | 2010-05-11 | Won |
| 1118 | 1118 | 50% | 1999-05-29 | Won |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Won |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1076.2 vs 1111.1 has a 45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).