Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (18 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / American): 18
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1186 | 1074 | 66% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 883 | 904 | 47% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1012 | 59% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1252 | 34% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 913 | 1079 | 28% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1066 | 58% | 2021-03-17 | Won |
| 1086 | 1022 | 59% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 995 | 1054 | 42% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
| 1177 | 993 | 74% | 2016-11-13 | Won |
| 959 | 1066 | 35% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1061 | 52% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1245 | 1072 | 73% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1072 | 1144 | 40% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1252 | 25% | 2016-06-05 | Won |
| 1027 | 1005 | 53% | 2010-05-11 | Won |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 1999-05-29 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1068.2 vs 1071.6 has a 49.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).