Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (18 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / American): 18
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1137 | 1051 | 62% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 920 | 917 | 50% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1040 | 56% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1333 | 24% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 908 | 1074 | 28% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1075 | 55% | 2021-03-17 | Won |
| 1099 | 1022 | 61% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 1070 | 998 | 60% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
| 1153 | 994 | 71% | 2016-11-13 | Won |
| 960 | 1067 | 35% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1062 | 53% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1245 | 1082 | 72% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1082 | 1109 | 46% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1333 | 21% | 2016-06-05 | Won |
| 1029 | 1006 | 53% | 2010-05-11 | Won |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | 1999-05-29 | Won |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Won |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1080.8 vs 1085.2 has a 49.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).