Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (18 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / American): 18
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1166 | 1074 | 63% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 912 | 927 | 48% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1025 | 57% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1340 | 23% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 913 | 1075 | 28% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1075 | 55% | 2021-03-17 | Won |
| 1098 | 1022 | 61% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 1009 | 1055 | 43% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
| 1196 | 993 | 76% | 2016-11-13 | Won |
| 1020 | 1067 | 43% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1062 | 51% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1245 | 1072 | 73% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1072 | 1113 | 44% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1340 | 18% | 2016-06-05 | Won |
| 1029 | 1006 | 53% | 2010-05-11 | Won |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 1999-05-29 | Won |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1082 vs 1091.4 has a 48.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).