Nordic Twilight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3
Attacker wins (Finnish): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1302 | 1044 | 82% | 2008-05-03 | Won |
| 1040 | 1205 | 28% | 2000-06-29 | Won |
| 1166 | 1024 | 69% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1169.3 vs 1091 has a 61.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).