Nordic Twilight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Finnish): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1232 | 1045 | 75% | 2008-05-03 | Won |
| 1040 | 1193 | 29% | 2000-06-29 | Won |
| 1018 | 1019 | 50% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1140 | 40% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1090.8 vs 1099.3 has a 48.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).