Operation Nordwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (13 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 76
Defender wins (American): 63
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1014 | 69% | 2019-10-16 | Won |
| 954 | 1183 | 21% | 2019-08-06 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 953 | 1145 | 25% | 2014-02-07 | Won |
| 1089 | 1050 | 56% | 2010-05-30 | Won |
| 830 | 1139 | 14% | 2005-03-05 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1068 | 50% | 2003-04-27 | Lost |
| 1201 | 938 | 82% | 2002-10-25 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 1999-12-16 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 1998-12-29 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1123 | 50% | 1998-08-01 | Won |
| 1125 | 1123 | 50% | 1998-08-01 | Won |
| 1051 | 1033 | 53% | 1996-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1090 vs 1058.8 has a 54.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).