Operation Nordwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (13 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 76
Defender wins (American): 63
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1110 | 1012 | 64% | 2019-10-16 | Won |
| 992 | 1054 | 41% | 2019-08-06 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1177 | 58% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 962 | 1144 | 26% | 2014-02-07 | Won |
| 1131 | 1059 | 60% | 2010-05-30 | Won |
| 833 | 1176 | 12% | 2005-03-05 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2003-04-27 | Lost |
| 1201 | 985 | 78% | 2002-10-25 | Won |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 1999-12-16 | Won |
| 1042 | 1042 | 50% | 1998-12-29 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1173 | 44% | 1998-08-01 | Won |
| 1129 | 1173 | 44% | 1998-08-01 | Won |
| 983 | 1034 | 43% | 1996-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1073.1 vs 1063.2 has a 51.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).