Operation Nordwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 140 (14 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 76
Defender wins (American): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1126 | 1011 | 66% | 2019-10-16 | Won |
| 977 | 1069 | 37% | 2019-08-06 | Lost |
| 1239 | 1151 | 62% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 983 | 1026 | 44% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 909 | 1144 | 21% | 2014-02-07 | Won |
| 1157 | 1052 | 65% | 2010-05-30 | Won |
| 833 | 1066 | 21% | 2005-03-05 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2003-04-27 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1000 | 76% | 2002-10-25 | Won |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 1999-12-16 | Won |
| 1006 | 1006 | 50% | 1998-12-29 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1127 | 50% | 1998-08-01 | Won |
| 1130 | 1127 | 50% | 1998-08-01 | Won |
| 1046 | 1034 | 52% | 1996-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1067.4 vs 1044.7 has a 53.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).