Operation Nordwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (13 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 76
Defender wins (American): 63
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1110 | 1013 | 64% | 2019-10-16 | Won |
| 931 | 1148 | 22% | 2019-08-06 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1090 | 81% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 954 | 1144 | 25% | 2014-02-07 | Won |
| 1104 | 1089 | 52% | 2010-05-30 | Won |
| 831 | 1189 | 11% | 2005-03-05 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1068 | 50% | 2003-04-27 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1031 | 73% | 2002-10-25 | Won |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 1999-12-16 | Won |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 1998-12-29 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1174 | 43% | 1998-08-01 | Won |
| 1125 | 1174 | 43% | 1998-08-01 | Won |
| 1035 | 1034 | 50% | 1996-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1083.3 vs 1075.1 has a 51.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).