Operation Nordwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1126 | 1012 | 66% | 2019-10-16 | | Won |
| 987 | 1099 | 34% | 2019-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2018-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2017-05-18 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2014-02-07 | | Won |
| 1137 | 1070 | 60% | 2010-05-30 | | Won |
| 832 | 1102 | 17% | 2005-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2003-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2002-10-25 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 1999-12-16 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 1998-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 1998-08-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 1998-08-01 | | Won |
| 1063 | 1030 | 55% | 1996-08-02 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1034.2 vs 1043.4 has a 48.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).