Caught Napping
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (7 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1153 | 858 | 85% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1416 | 14% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1228 | 32% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
| 1106 | 1112 | 49% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
| 1092 | 1142 | 43% | 2010-11-13 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1105.3 vs 1135.4 has a 45.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).