Caught Napping
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (7 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2017-08-26 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1435 | 18% | 2015-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1233 | 32% | 2014-01-06 | | Won |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2012-02-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2010-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1084.9 vs 1122.3 has a 44.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).