Caught Napping
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (7 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 13
Defender wins (German): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1207 | 857 | 88% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1094 | 1358 | 18% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1228 | 32% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
| 1091 | 1113 | 47% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
| 1090 | 1185 | 37% | 2010-11-13 | Lost |
| 839 | 1132 | 16% | | Won |
| 1132 | 839 | 84% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1078.1 vs 1101.7 has a 46.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).