Caught Napping
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (7 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1185 | 1430 | 20% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1233 | 32% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
| 1102 | 1112 | 49% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
| 1094 | 1228 | 32% | 2010-11-13 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1094.1 vs 1129.7 has a 44.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).