Luzon Lunatics
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Japanese): 3
Defender wins (American): 2
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 1069 | 40% | 2025-12-17 | Won |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2025-08-06 | Won |
| 1070 | 982 | 62% | 2023-12-21 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1067 | 72% | 2022-01-03 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1110 | 51% | 2011-11-03 | Won |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 2008-04-22 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1046.3 vs 1061.3 has a 47.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).