Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (28 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 62
Defender wins (Polish): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2025-05-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-09-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-12-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 988 | 827 | 72% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-02-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2012-05-17 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-02-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2010-08-07 | Tied |
| 900 | 982 | 38% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 840 | 1000 | 28% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2007-11-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2005-12-03 | Lost |
| 1019 | 972 | 57% | 2005-11-05 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2005-10-20 | Lost |
| 986 | 1062 | 39% | 2005-10-03 | Won |
| 841 | 1000 | 29% | | Won |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 982.9 vs 998.9 has a 47.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).