Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (28 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 64
Defender wins (Polish): 67
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 932 | 909 | 53% | 2025-05-09 | Won |
| 870 | 937 | 40% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 1032 | 1035 | 50% | 2023-09-26 | Won |
| 933 | 1107 | 27% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 904 | 1143 | 20% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 904 | 1143 | 20% | 2022-12-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 764 | 82% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1124 | 1003 | 67% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1046 | 48% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1124 | 57% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 1043 | 890 | 71% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1067 | 877 | 75% | 2013-02-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 1067 | 42% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1079 | 44% | 2012-05-17 | Won |
| 1099 | 1085 | 52% | 2012-02-26 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
| 1153 | 1152 | 50% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1178 | 70% | 2010-08-07 | Tied |
| 866 | 1115 | 19% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 1036 | 45% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1136 | 37% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2007-11-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 973 | 52% | 2005-12-03 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1115 | 56% | 2005-11-05 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1054 | 65% | 2005-10-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1152 | 33% | 2005-10-03 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
| 1090 | 1164 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1049 vs 1058.6 has a 48.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).