Firestorm in St. Manvieu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (8 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 1070 | 49% | 2025-10-19 | Won |
| 1151 | 1145 | 51% | 2025-01-25 | Tied |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2017-12-16 | Won |
| 1019 | 1038 | 47% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1239 | 27% | 2013-08-31 | Won |
| 1110 | 1022 | 62% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
| 1219 | 1187 | 55% | 2005-09-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 1186 | 43% | 2005-07-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1100.1 vs 1109.9 has a 48.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).