Firestorm in St. Manvieu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (British): 5
Defender wins (German (SS)): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | 2025-10-19 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1145 | 54% | 2025-01-25 | | Tied |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2017-12-16 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1038 | 49% | 2017-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1219 | 29% | 2013-08-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2006-09-24 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2005-09-10 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2005-07-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1095.6 vs 1056.9 has a 55.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).