Firestorm in St. Manvieu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (8 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1060 | 47% | 2025-10-19 | Won |
| 1177 | 1143 | 55% | 2025-01-25 | Tied |
| 959 | 1035 | 39% | 2017-12-16 | Won |
| 1034 | 1038 | 49% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1232 | 27% | 2013-08-31 | Won |
| 1110 | 1023 | 62% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
| 1182 | 1188 | 49% | 2005-09-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 1185 | 44% | 2005-07-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1087.6 vs 1113 has a 46.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).