Firestorm in St. Manvieu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (7 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 33
Defender wins (German (SS)): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1096 | 1156 | 41% | 2025-01-25 | Tied |
| 964 | 1019 | 42% | 2017-12-16 | Won |
| 1046 | 1037 | 51% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1329 | 21% | 2013-08-31 | Won |
| 1128 | 1064 | 59% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
| 1158 | 853 | 85% | 2005-09-10 | Won |
| 1152 | 1182 | 46% | 2005-07-23 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1092 vs 1091.4 has a 50.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).