Firestorm in St. Manvieu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (6 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 33
Defender wins (German (SS)): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1095 | 1099 | 49% | 2025-01-25 | Tied |
| 996 | 1008 | 48% | 2017-12-16 | Won |
| 985 | 1009 | 47% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1296 | 24% | 2013-08-31 | Won |
| 1100 | 1046 | 58% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
| 1206 | 875 | 87% | 2005-09-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1079.2 vs 1055.5 has a 53.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).