Motoring to Mogilev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (9 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1147 | 1129 | 53% | 2025-05-12 | Won |
| 941 | 1211 | 17% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1091 | 45% | 2023-01-01 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1097 | 42% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2019-01-24 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1096 | 67% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1031 | 65% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1035 | 79% | 2008-01-16 | Won |
| 1082 | 1021 | 59% | 2004-09-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1096.6 vs 1092.7 has a 50.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).