Motoring to Mogilev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (8 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1106 | 43% | 2025-05-12 | Won |
| 943 | 1310 | 11% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1241 | 1090 | 70% | 2023-01-01 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1041 | 56% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2019-01-24 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1109 | 61% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1029 | 79% | 2008-01-16 | Won |
| 1082 | 1128 | 43% | 2004-09-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1102.9 vs 1121.3 has a 47.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).