Motoring to Mogilev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (9 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1125 | 46% | 2025-05-12 | Won |
| 937 | 1274 | 13% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1090 | 63% | 2023-01-01 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1054 | 49% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 970 | 1164 | 25% | 2019-01-24 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1096 | 68% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1031 | 65% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1036 | 79% | 2008-01-16 | Won |
| 1082 | 1073 | 51% | 2004-09-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1106 vs 1104.8 has a 50.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).